While it’s arguably the least prestigious of the four golf majors, the US Open is also likely the hardest to win, giving it a certain cachet among pros and fans alike. Finding the best US Open odds can be a nightmare, especially since the tournament keeps changing venues.
Still, there are trends to this tournament that can be apparent to handicappers with a keen eye. We’ll show you everything you need to know about betting on the US Open, starting with the latest odds from our top golf betting site, BetOnline.
US Open Betting Odds
- Scottie Scheffler: +650
- John Rahm: +1000
- Brooks Koepka: +1200
- Rory McIlroy: +1600
- Patrick Cantlay: +1800
- Xander Schauffele: +1800
- Jordan Spieth: +2500
- Cameron Smith: +2500
- Max Homa: +3000
- Collin Morikawa: +3500
- Matthew Fitzpatrick: +4000
- Justin Thomas: +5000
While you’ll see futures odds being released by certain bookmakers at this time, the most accurate odds board will be released the week of the tournament. Barring some huge changes in the sport over the next couple of months, we can credibly speculate on some of the odds for the US Open golf tournament.
Sites with the Best US Open Odds
- BetOnline: Best overall
- Bovada: Best odds for the Champions Tour
- BUSR: Excellent Golf Specials odds
- MyBookie: Best golf props bets
- MyStake: Best for crypto
- Everygame: Global golf markets
- XBet: Best for golf live betting
- Thunderpick: Top pick for crypto betting
- BetUS: Great Golf Majors futures
- SportsBetting: Best for 3-balls odds
US Open At-a-Glance
- Where: Los Angeles Country Club, Los Angeles, CA
- Par: 70
- When: June 15-18, 2023
- Channel: CBS, GOLF
- Purse: $17,500,000
- Defending Champion: Matt Fitzpatrick
About the US Open Tournament
The US Open is one of the oldest events on the PGA Tour, dating back to 1895, when it was first played at the Newport Country Club in Rhode Island. The winner (the immortal Brit Horace Rawlins) earned $150 cash and a gold medal — upwards of six grand in today’s dollars.
As with so many tournaments at that time, the early days of the competition were dominated by Englishmen and Scotsmen. It wouldn’t be until 1911 that an American would win the thing when John J. McDermott finally kept the title on U.S. soil.
McDermott’s breakthrough victory would set the stage for the next century and change, as American players have primarily dominated the event since then. Besides Englishmen, South Africans have had the most success in the tourney, thanks to notable repeat winners like Ernie Els and Retief Goosen.
However, the tide is changing somewhat, as more foreign-born players are becoming US Open champions. Six of the past 13 winners have hailed from somewhere other than the USA, with four coming from the UK (including the defending champion, Matt Fitzpatrick).
Besides the ever-changing location and general US dominance, the tournament’s other calling card is its large purses. It’s always been among the most rewarding on tour (and usually the most rewarding major), but it’s kicking things up a notch this year.
Last year’s prize was $17.5 million, $2.5 million more than the Masters or PGA Championship. However, given that the PGA has tried to drum up more interest by offering “elevated” events with larger purses (the Players Championship had a whopping $25 million purse this year), it stands to reason that we’ll see a prize pool closer to $20 million.
Who will take home all that cash? Will the Brits continue their resurgence, or will an American step up to keep the trophy on home soil? And, perhaps more importantly, can anyone stop this one particular Spaniard?
Read on to find out.
US Open Course
While it may not offer the lush forests you find at Augusta or the stunning ocean views seen at St. Andrews, few courses in the world offer the glitz and glamor of the Los Angeles Country Club.
Situated on the outskirts of Beverly Hills, the course could be sold to developers for tens of millions of dollars — and the fact that it hasn’t been testifies to the game’s importance in Tinseltown.
Despite that, the 36-hole course had become a bit too utilitarian to be considered truly beautiful — yet another course that wanted to copy Augusta, despite not having the means or climate to do so. It would remain that way until architect Gil Hanse led an expansive renovation project in 2010.
Gone were the streamlined holes, sleek fairways, and many of the seemingly-endless bunkers that had been the course’s calling card for years.
In their place, Hanse created a throwback course that harkened back to the days when the sport first became wildly popular in the United States.
Inspired by the course’s original 1920s look, Hanse made odd decisions, like creating peninsulas or allowing a mound in the center of the 15th green. The 17th hole requires a short drive through high winds and has inspired more cursing than a Tarantino script.
The winner will likely be the golfer that can make it to the green most reliably, as while many of the shorter holes look simple, it can be devilishly hard to get near the pin without ending up in the rough.
Still, it’s a course that has finally found its true identity and one that is markedly different from any other on the Tour. It may not be Augusta, but it doesn’t need (or want) to be. It’s Los Angeles.
It’s a fitting location for the tournament that first awakened American dominance in the sport. Bobby Jones would be right at home here — all that remains to be seen is whether the likes of Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler will, too.
US Open Trends
At first glance, the US Open might not lend itself to betting trends — after all, how can you find patterns in a tournament that’s played at a new course every year?
If you dig deeper, however, you can find a few gems that can reliably influence how you should bet. We’ve listed a few of our favorites here.
The Tournament Rewards the Hot Hand
Every single winner over the past decade had a top-8 finish in their last seven starts, and 40% had a win over that same span.
Simply put, if you’re not playing your best golf — and playing it with confidence — you’re unlikely to withstand all the surprises a new course will throw at you.
We think that’s likely to be especially true this year, as the LA Country Club has some devious hazards that will certainly cause a few meltdowns among struggling players.
So, before you place a bet, check the recent leaderboards. If your favorite isn’t in there somewhere, consider picking another golfer.
Check Out the GIR Numbers
One of the most important advanced stats for this tournament is the “greens in regulation” (GIR) number. GIR is achieved by getting on the green in:
- par minus one stroke on a par-3
- par minus two strokes on a par-4
- par minus three or fewer strokes on a par-5
It’s a handy way to sum up your entire game, minus the putting. It’s also a great way to determine who can win the US Open.
More often than not, the tournament winner is in the top five in GIR on the Tour. There was a stretch from 2015 to 2019 when the winner with the lowest GIR was fifth on the Tour (Jordan Spieth in 2015), and most of the others were leading the category.
There are exceptions, of course — Matthew Fitzpatrick wasn’t a leader in this category last year. Of course, he also needed to hit a stunning 50-foot putt to win, so we’re comfortable calling him an outlier.
You’d have to go back to 2008 to find a US Open winner over the age of 35 — and since that particular winner was Tiger Woods (and even his victory was a shocker), we’ll consider it an outlier as well.
The vast majority of winners here are in their 20s — 8 out of the last 11. For whatever reason, this is a young man’s tournament, and given that all the heavy favorites this year are quite young as well, we don’t see that changing.
Could an older player break the streak? Sure, anything’s possible — but good luck picking out who that might be.
Predictions for the 2023 US Open Tournament
Typically, we break down our predictions by favorites, dark horses, and long shots, but the US Open is slightly different.
The favorites should be considered overwhelming favorites. We wouldn’t necessarily recommend wagering on dark horses or longshots at all unless a player that meets the criteria above makes a hard charge in the weeks before the tournament.
Still, we’ll break down players in each category — just don’t be surprised if we’re not particularly bullish on the players outside the top tier.
It should come as no surprise that Rahm meets every one of our requirements above, as it’s hard to find indicators of excellent play that the Spaniard doesn’t meet these days. He even has a US Open trophy on his mantle already, having won in San Diego two years ago.
So why wouldn’t you bet on the current best golfer in the world to win in Los Angeles? There are only two reasons: you don’t like the short odds, or you think one of the other best golfers in the world will win instead.
Regardless, no one would blame you for putting a healthy wager on Rahm here.
Guess who else checks every box we laid out above? That’s right — the other guy who’s playing some of the best golf in the world right now.
Scheffler has won twice this year, including at the ultra-lucrative Players Championship, so no one can claim to have the hotter hand. He’s also the current leader in GIR.
Again, there’s no good reason to bet against the Texan — and we don’t intend to.
McIlroy was once the odds-on favorite to win this thing, and betting on him is never bad. However, unlike Rahm and Scheffler, we have a glaring red flag for the 2011 champ.
He’s not in the top 5 in GIR. Nowhere near it, really, ranking a dismal 143rd on the Tour.
He’s also a bit older than most recent winners, although, at 33, he still comes in under the age-35 cutoff.
This may seem like splitting hairs, but given that his current odds to win the US Open golf tournament are just +890, this might be the only favorite to worry about.
The two golfers below might not seem like dark horses, but in an event where there are the favorites and everyone else, you can probably get some long odds on some pretty incredible players.
Both players are currently around +1900, which would represent solid value if you think they have what it takes to win outright.
Cantlay is still an erratic, boom-or-bust golfer, but you can use that to your advantage. It might be smart to wait until after the first day to see if he’s among the leaders and bet on him then if he’s getting good odds.
He’s had a few solid showings recently, including top-5 finishes at the Genesis Invitational and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Still, there are a few duds on his resume as well, like missing the cut in Phoenix.
Still, he’s a relatively young (31) and efficient (6th in GIR) golfer, so he has a puncher’s chance here.
Morikawa is basically a carbon copy of Cantlay in terms of the key metrics, although he is a bit younger at 26. He slots in just behind Cantlay on the GIR leaderboards, sitting at 7th overall at press time.
He’s also been on a bit of a roller coaster this season, missing the cut in two of his last five events. Before that, though, he had three top-10 finishes in a row, so it’s not like his best days are behind him.
If you can only bet on one of these golfers, you’re going to have to decide whether you feel like youth or the hot hand is more important for the US Open.
The next golfers on the list would shock the world if they won this year (even though all have won this tournament before).
None of them are dominating the Tour this season, but they have a proven record of winning at Hilton Head — and, as we’ve seen, that may be all you need to know.
This is the ultimate longshot bet — so much so that you can’t find odds on Yu to win at many sportsbooks right now. We’d recommend checking closer to the start of the tourney if you want to take a flier on the 72nd-ranked player in the world.
So why might he represent good value? He checks two of our boxes: he’s young (24), and he’s currently second on the Tour in GIR. The man gets on the green with efficiency.
As of this time, though, he certainly doesn’t have the hot hand, with only a pair of top-10 finishes this season. Still, getting on the green easily might separate the champ from the pack, and you’ll get insane ROI if he pulls off a shocker in LA.
A two-time winner, Furyk is another guy who just gets it done in South Carolina. He hasn’t won here since 2015, a third championship is not out of the question. At 52, he’s only three years older than Cink, and veterans tend to do well here anyway.
He’s only played in three Tour events this year (and only made the cut once), so a Furyk victory would be one of the most surprising outcomes in recent memory. This course is perfect for surprising outcomes, though, and we expect you can get extremely long odds on the Pennsylvanian.
Pan’s 2019 triumph is his only Tour victory, so we wouldn’t recommend betting on this pro under normal circumstances. He’s a golfer that tends to make the cut and not much else, so why are we recommending a flier on him here?
Again: the odds. We wouldn’t be surprised to see him at +20000 or worse, so you’d be betting a few bucks that a former champ would remember how to win here again.
Golf Betting Strategies
Golf is one of the most wagered-upon sports in the world, but like in any sports betting market, punters are mostly just playing hunches. But if you put some effort into understanding the sport, you can find value here that doesn’t exist in other sports.
Below, we’ve listed some of our best golf betting strategies for the US Open and any other tourney you want to bet on. We can’t guarantee a victory, but they should at least give you a leg up on the best golf betting sites.
Don’t Pick Just One Guy
Many amateur handicappers like to zero in on a single golfer and place a bet on him before the tournament starts, and nothing else. Either he wins or he loses — simple as that. Betting odds be damned.
While that’s great if you’re just betting for fun, those hoping to come out ahead should spread the wealth around a little.
Pick a golfer or two from each “tier” — a favorite, a dark horse, and a longshot. This will give you broad coverage against almost any eventuality.
Bet On Something Other Than Outright Winners
Most punters just try to pinpoint who will win the tournament without considering the rest of the bets at their disposal. But in golf, there’s actually more value in other bet types.
Check out the individual matchups. It’s easier to predict if a player will shoot better than the other on one day than it is to try to predict which golfer out of 120 will be the best over half a week.
You can also look at player props, end-of-day leaders, and other fun betting odds besides outrights. Not only will this diversify your betting portfolio, but it will also be more fun.
Time Your Bets
Golfers can be streaky, and even the top player in the world could experience a downturn now and then. That’s bad news for them — but good news for you if you think they’ll snap out of it sooner or later.
Take Dustin Johnson, for example. He hasn’t been one of the best in the world for a while now, but his talent is still undeniable. If you think this is just a slump rather than his new normal, you should bet on him now while his value is sky-high.
Futures bets have great potential and you can place them even before the tournament begins. If you think Johnson has a solid shot at winning The Open, you can place a bet on him now and take advantage of really great odds.
Bet on other
Best Sites for Betting on the US Open Tournament
If you’re looking to find the best odds and lines on this (or any) golf tournament, we recommend these five sites above all. They’re safe, offer great prices, and are extremely player-friendly.
1. BetOnline – Best US Open Odds Overall
You won’t find better odds for the PGA tour events than the ones available at BetOnline. They have a ton of specials here for every major tournament, making it one of the most fun places to wager on the internet.
Using code “BOL1000” will give you a 50% match up to $1,000, complete with a 10x wagering requirement and 30-day qualification period.
2. Bovada – Best Champions Tour Odds
Bovada is a well-established sportsbook. It has the best golf tournament coverage and offers the best odds for the Champions tour.
If you bet on individual props rather than just picking winners, Bovada is the place to do it. Why? Because in addition to their regular (and extensive) offering of props, they have a “What’s Ya Wager” feature that lets you create props.
You can never complain that Bovada didn’t have the action you’re looking for with that bad boy around. New players qualify for a deposit match of 50% up to $250, subject to a 5x rollover.
And, if you’re into poker, this casino and sportsbook is one of the best poker sites you can find that offers sports betting features.
3. BUSR — Best Betting Site for Golf Specials
Prefer the European Tour, or even the LPGA? BUSR has the best lines on all of them, so you should look here first. You’ll also find lots of exciting golf specials to bet on here at BUSR.
Their welcome bonus is a 150% match up to $2,500 with code “SPORTS100FP.” The rollover for this one is 20x, and you’ll have to pony up at least $100 to qualify.
4. MyBookie – Best Golf Prop Bets
If you like to bet while you watch, MyBookie has a great live odds section. It’s a great way to find some juicy lines before the public can react. The site is also popular for its golf prop bets for all major tournaments.
If you deposit using code “MYB50,” you’ll be rewarded with a 50% match up to $1,000. You’ll deal with a 10x rollover and a $50 minimum deposit here.
5. MyStake – Most Competitive US Open Golf Odds Overall
MyStake has possibly the largest variety of bets you’ll find at any sportsbook, anywhere. They take action on anything, and they’re great for betting futures.
Sports bettors will find a multitude of deposit and reload bonuses to choose from here. The site’s sports welcome offer doubles your deposit amount up to $500. It comes with a 10x wagering requirement.
Guide to Betting on the US Open
Where is the 2023 US Open Tournament?
The tournament will be held on Hilton Head Island in South Carolina, at the famous Harbour Town Golf Links.
Is the US Open a Major Tournament?
Yes. The US Open is one of the four PGA major tournaments. This tournament is played in different locations each year and invites 156 player to compete for the title.
Related post: PGA Championship Odds
How Much Does the US Open Winner Get?
This year’s tournament has been elevated by the PGA, the purse is larger than ever — to the tune of a cool $20 million. Of that, the first-place winner will take home about $3.6 million.
Which Country Has the Most US Open Winners?
The USA has the most champions with 86 winners since the tournament’s inception.
Who Was the 2022 US Open Champion?
Matt Fitzpatrick was the 2022 US open champion.
Which US Open Winner Has Had the Longest Odds to Win Pre-Tournament?
Ben Curtis was the longest odds winner at +50000 pre-tournament.
Got a knack for racing? Check out these betting guides:
Tips for Betting on the US Open Tournament
While we’ve already covered some high-level betting strategies for this tournament, we have a few more tips to allow you to maximize your value on the US Open (and any golf tournament, really). We recommend that you:
1. Open Accounts at Multiple Sportsbooks
You won’t find the same odds and lines at every sportsbook, and sometimes a bookie will have a line that’s way out of whack with what the other sites offer.
The best odds won’t just pop up on your radar. You have to shop for them. That’s why it’s important to open and maintain accounts at all the major sportsbooks like the ones outlined above.
It’s what professional handicappers do, and it’s what you should do as well.
2. Take Advantage of Deposit Bonuses
The online sportsbook market is a competitive one, and the best gambling sites will compete for your business by offering you deposit match bonuses, free bets, and more. They’re offering you all these deals to entice you into signing up, and you should take advantage of as many as you possibly can.
Every single bit of bonus money or every free bet adds up, and it could mean the difference between breaking even on something like the US Open tournament or ending up in the black.
Be aware, though, that most come with wagering requirements you have to fulfill, and some have time limits as well. Read the fine print.
3. Bet Throughout the Tournament
Some punters will take a guess on who will win prior to the tournament, and then they’ll just let that bet ride the entire weekend. There’s nothing wrong with that if you’re betting for fun, but if you’re trying to extract value, you need to make more wagers.
Tournaments can change drastically from one day to the next, and there might be value that exists on Day Two that wasn’t there prior to the tournament starting. You should check the lines every night to see if there have been any swings that you can capitalize on.
This is less likely to come into play at the US Open than other golf tourneys, as the early leaders tend to win here (so you’re probably not going to get great odds on the top 10 after Day 1).
Read before you go:
Bet on Your Favorite Players with the Best US Open Odds
The US Open is indeed a challenging event not only for golfers but also for golf bettors. That’s what makes it more exciting.
This guide can help you decide the best places to put a wager or two, and give you insight on the best golf betting strategy not just for the US Open but for other tournaments as well.
When making your bets, we’d recommend starting at BetOnline,as it’s extremely welcoming to new customers (and it has one of the best reputations in the business). We’ve recommended four other top-notch sportsbooks for you as well, so you should find a great line or two somewhere.
No matter how you decide to wager, the important thing is to have fun while watching the tournament — and keep an eye on that Stewart Cink. Don’t say we didn’t warn you.
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