The Premier League season will be here before you know it. Which three teams will play in the Championship League next season after relegation from the Premier League?
Our guide will help you sort out the “favorites” for relegation from the teams with staying power. We’ll also evaluate Premier League relegation odds and point out some wagers that look like good value to us.
Luckland offers the best PL relegation odds in terms of value, but continue reading our full guide to discover more.
Sites with the Best Premier League Relegation Odds
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One of the greatest things about the Premier League is the beautifully short off-season. Barely more than two months long, it gives us enough time to absorb the lessons of last year and gear ourselves up for the coming season.
Unless your team was relegated, of course. For Southampton, Leeds, and Leicester City fans, it will be a year at least until they can revel once again in participating in the Premier League if they are lucky.
For many teams that get relegated from the Premier League, it could take years or more to make it back to top-level football. Some may never see the Premier League again. While this may be depressing for some, relegation can be a joyous occasion for the savvy bettor if you pick the right teams.
With that in mind, we’ve lined up some Premier League predictions, especially on who we think will be heading back down to the Championship. We also looked at some other candidates whose current odds present good value (at least to us). So let’s dive in, and hopefully, we can lend some insight that leads you to winning wagers.
Premier League 2023/24 Season Relegation Odds
The number listed next to the team indicates your return on 1 unit wagered. So if you were to wager One Pound on Sheffield United and they end up relegated, you would receive 1.63 Pounds back. Or, if you wagered that same Pound on Liverpool and the entire team became zombies, and they were relegated (the only way we see this happening), you would receive 500 Pounds!
- Luton Town 1.37
- Sheffield United 1.64
- Burnley FC 2.70
- AFC Bournemouth 2.75
- Nottingham Forest 3.60
- Everton FC 4.20
- Fulham FC 4.55
- Wolverhampton Wanderers 5.55
- Crystal Palace 7.90
- Brentford 9.15
- West Ham United 14.50
- Aston Villa 27.75
- Brighton & Hove Albion 43.00
- Tottenham Hotspur 81.00
Premier League Relegation/Promotion History
When the Premier League began in 1992 it consisted of 22 founding members. Every year since then, the bottom 3 teams in the standings have been relegated to the Championship division (except for the 1994-95 season when four teams were sent down as part of the downsizing to 20 Premier League teams).
Over those years, 51 football clubs will have played at least one season in the Premier League, counting the upcoming season. Only 6 of those 51 clubs have spent every season since 1992 in the Premier League. Those six teams are Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man United, and Everton – although Everton has narrowly avoided relegation the past two seasons.
Last season, all three promoted teams (Bournemouth, Fulham, Nottingham Forest) avoided relegation for the first time since the 2017-18 season. Leicester City was one of the relegated teams last season, making them the second former Premier League Champion to be relegated. This follows Blackburn Rovers (94-95 Champs), who were relegated after the 98-99 season.
In 2016 Leicester was also the second team to win the Premier League after being promoted, joining 2011-12 winners Man City. Leicester fans are probably looking forward to the next accomplishment their team will be the second to achieve.
Of the three newly promoted Premier League teams for the 2023-24 season, only Luton Town will be making their Premier League debut. The other two promoted clubs will each be appearing in the Premier League for the fourth time.
Sheffield United was a founding member of the Premier League before their relegation following the second season of the league. This season marks their third promotion back to the Premier League, with the most recent previous promotion lasting two seasons from 2019-2021.
Burnley was first promoted to the Premier League for the 2009-10 season. That promotion resulted in an immediate relegation to the Championship the next year. Burnley’s second promotion in 2014 also only lasted one season.
The third time might have been the charm however, as Burnley spent six seasons in the Premier league after their third promotion for the 2016-17 season. We’ll see what the fourth brings.
Norwich City holds the record for most promotions (and relegations) in Premier League history, with six of each. There are also only three teams to have been promoted to the Premier league without subsequently being relegated.
Luton Town is technically one of the three, though they haven’t survived a season yet. The other two teams, Brighton Hove and Brentford have remained in the Premier league for seven and three seasons respectively following their first promotions to the league.
Premier League Favorites for Relegation
This is one of the few lists where you don’t want to be the favorite. As we alluded to above, it’s quite rare for all three promoted teams to avoid relegation in their first season. The odds are strong that at least one of these teams will be back in the Championship next season.
Luton Town Relegation Odds (1.37)
This will be Luton Town’s first season in the Premier League, but they just missed out on being an original Premier League member when they were relegated from the (then) First Division of English soccer in 1992, the last season before the Premier League.
In the years between that relegation and last season’s promotion, the Hatters have zig-zagged through the levels of English Football, eventually dropping all the way down to the non-league level in 2009. It took several years of trying to move back up, but in 2014-15 Luton returned to league football, and their trajectory has been upwards ever since.
The Hatters have jumped four divisions in just eight years, becoming the first club to ever go from the top division of English football down to the fifth division and then back up. This should give hope to nearly every football team in the country, no matter where they are at the tables.
But should we have hope for Luton’s chances at avoiding relegation and staying up next season? Probably not. Luton rode a sturdy defense and an incredible 17 draws to a third-place finish in the Championship division last season before winning the promotion playoffs final in a shootout against Coventry City.
The team has little offense beyond attacking midfielder Carlton Morris (20 goals and 7 assists last year). Most Premier League defenses should be able to handle a single threat, and it seems unlikely that the team will be making any big offensive additions before the start of the season.
While Luton are the clear favourites for relegation, we don’t necessarily think the current odds are the best value out there. If you put money out of circulation for the full season, you want to ensure a healthy return, and we think that lies elsewhere.
>> Bet on Luton Town getting relegated at Luckland
Sheffield United Relegation Odds (1.64)
It seems right for a founding member of the Premier League and the oldest football team in the world to be back in England’s top division again. Will they enjoy a lengthy stay, or will this visit to the top be short-lived?
The answer to that question may lie with the fate of their best offensive player Iliman Ndiaye, who has been linked to an Everton transfer for some time. Ndiaye is a versatile player who can help the offense in several ways.
If the team were to lose him, this would become a very tempting wager, especially if he heads to Everton, where they will likely be fighting relegation this season.
If United can keep Ndiaye and/or make a significant signing, that would likely flip our opinion. Sheffield won’t be intimidated in the Premier League, as their lineup will likely feature a good share of Premier League veterans.
While the team may not have won a top division or FA trophy in almost 100 years, Sheffield United is a proud, historic club and one of only five teams to win the title in all four divisions of English League football. They are also the first team ever to be promoted to the top level of English football, joining the first division in 1893.
Watch the transfers and gauge your wagering accordingly.
>> Head to Grosvenor for the best odds of Sheffield being relegated
Burnley Relegation Odds (2.70)
Burnley dominated the Championship division last year, clinching the title with seven games still to be played. Coach Vincent Kompany retooled the roster and revamped the tactics, resulting in a 101-point season and easy promotion.
They will likely lose their best player in Nathan Tella but should have enough left to remain competitive. And Kompany has shown himself to be a shrewd judge of talent who knows what type of players to seek out for his system. He is yet another disciple of Pep Guardiola, ready to make his mark on the Premier League.
As one might expect from a Kompany-coached team, Burnley is extremely stout on the defensive side, giving up less than a goal per game in the Championship last year while recording 21 clean sheets.
Burnley should continue to be a challenge for opposing offenses, and while that may result in more draws than wins in the Premier League, those points will be vital to avoiding relegation.
The Clarets play a disciplined, possession style of play, and their Coach looks to be on the rise. Burnley only spent one season in the Championship after their 2021-22 relegation and dominated while there. Burnley stayed in the Premier League for six seasons following their last promotion; based on their current trajectory, they could exceed that number this time.
We aren’t compelled to think Burnley will return to the Championship after this season, and the current odds don’t tempt us. Several teams look much more vulnerable to us…read on to learn more.
>> Think Burnley will get relegated? Place your bet at MrPlay
Premier League Relegation Dark Horses
We’re not sure if “Dark Horses” is the correct way to describe these teams considering that we think at least one will likely be relegated. But “next favorites” didn’t sound right, either.
These teams represent the best value amongst the remaining teams in the top half of the relegation odds. If you want to assume the omission of Fulham and Forest from these previews indicates that we think they won’t be relegated this upcoming season, we won’t stop you.
AFC Bournemouth Relegation Odds (2.75)
Bournemouth is our likeliest candidate to suffer second-season syndrome. Although they finished 15th last year, they didn’t escape relegation until the season’s final week. The team gave up 71 goals last season, the third most in the Premier League.
They aren’t completely bereft of talent, at least on offense, with players like Dominick Solanke and Marcus Tavernier. But those players must embody Kevin DeBruyne and Diego Maradona to put up enough offense to make up for their defense.
From our view, Burnley’s overall roster looks superior to Bournemouth’s. It’s unlikely that Bournemouth will add any players of consequence, and it would take more than one to patch up the holes in this defense.
This might not be our favorite bet on the relegation board, but it is close.
>> Place your bet at All British Casino
Everton Relegation Odds (4.20)
This makes it two seasons in a row where Everton fans had to sweat out the final week results before knowing their Premier League fate. Luckily for Evertonians, the team gave just enough to maintain their streak of consecutive seasons in the top flight of English football, which dates back to 1954.
The team has been financially strapped over that time, and unless there is a change in ownership, the penny-pinching looks likely to continue.
We spoke about Sheffield United attacking midfielder Iliman Ndiaye and the possibility of a transfer to Everton. This decision might decide the fate of two teams. Will Everton find the funds to bring in a difference-maker like Ndiaye? Or will they try to tough it out for a third season in a row?
Even if Everton doesn’t add much, they should still have more talent than several competitors. Unfortunately, the team has often played below their collective pedigree over the last couple of seasons, and even though Sean Dyche did enough to keep Everton away from relegation, it was BARELY enough.
We hate to repeat ourselves but watch the transfers as we approach August. The margins between the bottom six teams might be small enough that wherever Ndiaye ends up could make the difference.
>> Head to Kwiff and place your bet on Everton getting relegated
Wolverhampton Wanderers Relegation Odds (5.55)
When Julian Lopetegui took over as Wolves manager last season, the team was 20th in the table and had only scored 3 goals in 8 games. This makes their eventual 13th-place finish look fairly impressive, and it was.
And while Lopetegui will be able to use the off-season to install his tactics fully, this roster likely won’t be making any drastic improvements. This means Wolves will be struggling to score goals again. Raul Jiminez is still the most potent threat on the squad, and he’s never been able to return to his pre-injury form. Fabio Silva might still be too green to assume the lead role in the offense.
That will put additional pressure on the defense and Goaltender Josef Sa. He was able to keep the Wolves in games last season and probably had more to do with their staving off relegation than any other player. If he shows any regression in form, it could be disastrous for Wolverhampton.
We don’t see much difference between the Wolves and the teams ahead of them in the relegation odds. Therefore we like the 5.55x return on Wolverhampton to be relegated
>> Place your bets at 888 Sport
West Ham United Relegation Odds (14.50)
We think it’s less likely for West Ham to be relegated than Wolves, but is it 3 times less likely? As the current odds suggest? We’re not so sure.
West Ham did bring home hardware last season after winning the Europa conference league tournament. But the roster was stretched to its limit with the additional games. As tournament winners, the Hammers will again play games in Europe.
However, they will have to do it without Declan Rice, which should present an enormous challenge for West Ham. Rice was a constant stabilizing presence in the midfield for the Hammers, and it may take more than one player to replace his production.
West Ham will surely use some of the money from the Rice transfer to fill the void he’s left, but it’s unlikely that the player or players they find will immediately fit in as comfortably as Declan Rice did. We could see the team starting slowly and perhaps even making the first coaching change of the season.
There is still talent on this team, especially on the offensive side, but the Irons might find themselves having to score 3 or 4 goals for a result every game, and that’s a lot to ask.
The Current odds are favorable, and the return would justify tying up your funds for a long time.
>> Check out West Ham United delegation odds at Luckster
Premier League Relegation Long Shots
Do we REALLY think these teams are in danger of relegation? No. Did we (or anyone) think Leicester City would win the Premier League? Also no, and there are worst-case scenarios for all of these teams that could….COULD put them in peril. If you are looking to take a big swing, here it is.
Tottenham Hotspur Relegation Odds (81.0)
The fate of Harry Kane is still up in the air, but the team has already added James Maddison and will have talent to compete for a top 6 position with or without Kane (we assume they’d replace him if he leaves).
The worst case scenario would be for the Harry Kane situation to stretch into the season. Perhaps this causes Kane to start slowly, as he did last year.
Maybe the situation becomes untenable and Kane goes somewhere else and injuries pile up and Ange Postecoglou doesn’t adjust to the Premier league and the defensive breakdowns that plagued the team last year continue and…..
That’s a lot of things that have to happen, but with Tottenham, we aren’t discounting anything. Believe it or not though, Spurs aren’t even our favorite Long Shot. Keep reading…
Chelsea Relegation Odds (201)
Here it is! Our FAVORITE long shot for relegation. You might think that we’re just saying that because Chelsea are slightly hateable to non supporters and this is designed to appeal to the masses, but if that were the case we’d have put Man United here.
We see a legitimate situation where “Do-it-All” Chelsea owner Todd Boeley continues to think he’s outsmarted the entire football world by signing every other player who becomes available.
Yes, he’s unloaded quite a few players since the season ended, but if Chelsea start the season with three straight losses do YOU think he won’t buy up anything and everything within sight?
We are operating in theoreticals here, of course, but based on what we saw from Chelsea at the end of last season, this scenario is absolutely plausible, at least as much as Spurs going down and at TWICE the value.
Manchester City Relegation Odds (501)
Ok, hear us out. We won’t take up much time. There is one and only one way that Man City are relegated. If the team is found guilty of financial fair play violations they could suffer a huge deduction in points or possibly even expulsion from the League.
Again, we aren’t saying this will happen, but the charges are serious and a record points deduction could be applied. Honestly it would probably have to be a 50 point deduction for Man City to start sweating. This is what you get for a 500/1 long shot.
>> Think any of these teams will get the boot? Place your bets at Zet Bet
Why Bet on Premier League Relegation?
The English Premier League is widely regarded as the best professional football league in the world. In the past 20 years, the league has evolved into a money-making behemoth. The pressure to stay in the league is immense, and the difference between 17th and 18th in the table is tens of millions of pounds.
Just look at last season and the number of coaching changes late in the season, all to attempt to avoid relegation. One could argue that the stakes are higher for staying out of the bottom three than for making the top four.
Here are a few reasons why football betting, especially on Premier League relegation, represents unique value:
- Early odds = Great odds: Once the season starts, the odds for your relegation favorites might lose all their value. The bookmakers will tighten the odds once the truly miserable teams reveal themselves.
- Could History be made?: Will Everton fall out of the Premier League for the first time ever? Can tiny Luton Town stay up? Will Man City lose a point for every charge against them? And if so, can a Premier League team finish with a negative balance in the table?
- Increased Parity= increased chaos!: The overall depth and quality of the Premier League have increased quite a bit over the last decade. There are more teams than ever before with dreams of European Football.
If some of those teams displace the usual suspects at the top, it could create chaos and put an unexpected club in the relegation danger zone. Will it be your most hated rival?
Similar Guides:
Guide to Betting on Premier League Relegation
What is the Premier League Relegation?
At the end of every Premier League Season the bottom 3 teams in the table are sent one division down to play the following season in the Championship league. Conversely, three teams (the top 2 in the table, plus a playoff winner) from the Championship division are promoted to the Premier League.
When is the Relegation?
Relegation is determined following the final matches of the season. Week 38 matches will be played on Sunday May 19, 2024
Who Was Promoted to the Premier League this Season?
Luton Town, Sheffield United and Burnley were promoted from the Championship league to the Premiership for the 2023/24 season.
Who Was Relegated From the Premier League Last Season?
Leicester City, Leeds United, and Southampton were the bottom three finishers in the Premier League and will play in the Championship division next season.
Read before you go:
Who Do You Think Will be Relegated from the Premier League?
It seems Luton is the popular favourite to head back down to Championship. Do you agree with the top bookies’ numbers?
As for us, we do have some hunches, however, and our three favorite candidates for the Premier League relegation battle based on the value of current odds are…
- Sheffield United
- AFC Bournemouth
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
No matter who you think will be relegated, make sure to wager responsibly, and good luck!
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