One-third of the way through the regular season, the NFL hierarchy is starting to take shape. However, any given Sunday there is bound to be more and more revealed from each team. With the odds ready and available, let’s take a closer look at the spread for each contest and preview the games.
NFL Week 7 Odds & Spreads (Courtesy of Bovada)
Thursday Night Football (Oct. 19th)
8:15 PM EST
- Jaguars (-1) at Saints
Sunday Football (Oct. 22nd)
1:00 PM EST
- Commanders at Giants (-2.5)
- Bills (-3) at Patriots
- Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers
- Lions at Ravens (-2.5)
- Browns (-3) at Colts
- Raiders at Bears (-1)
4:05 PM EST
- Cardinals at Seahawks (-7)
- Steelers (-1) at Rams
4:25 PM EST
- Packers at Broncos (-3.5)
- Chargers at Chiefs (-5.5)
8:20 PM EST
- Dolphins at Eagles (-3)
Monday Night Football (Oct. 23rd)
8:15 PM EST
- 49ers (-1) at Vikings
Overview of the 2023 NFL Season: Storylines to Follow in Week 7
Regardless of who is playing there is no doubt going to be major headlines that you can look out for in each game. In Week 7, there are plenty of exciting ones to keep an eye out for, here are some of the best worth tracking.
Whether or not they could be Super Bowl previews is still uncertain, but there are some high quality AFC vs NFC games in the Week 7 slate that will be worth tuning in for.
The Lions vs Ravens should be a physical contest in the afternoon part of Sunday, then at night the Dolphins and Eagles will square-off in a matchup between two of the best teams in the NFL. You won’t want to miss it.
Key Battle of the NFC South War
In a division with little clarity, the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are scheduled to play in Week 7 for a great indicator on who will win the NFC South. Tampa Bay is the current favorite and has the talent to hold onto the crown all season, but Atlanta’s ground attack keeps games tight. This game will be impactful for the NFC playoff picture.
NFC Least: Commanders vs Giants
There is a clear separation between the top of the NFC East and the bottom, and in Week 7 we get a game between the two bottom teams when the Commanders travel to MetLife Stadium to face off against the Giants.
There is plenty of season to go, but both teams will desperately need to secure a win in this one in order to keep their hope as the season carries on.
Explaining NFL ATS Bets: What They Are, and the Pros & Cons of Betting Them
What Are Spreads?
Spreads are a point differential put out by sports betting platforms to create an even split on bets. Too many games have a favorite in a straight up pick’em format, so spreads are a great way to create leeway to the underdog and make a nice 50-50 style bet for users.
Reading a Spread
Spreads are actually quite simple, even if they look complicated at first glance. In a normal game, the score is all that matters for who wins. However with spreads, there is a certain amount of points that are taken into account to the final result to dictate who is covered in the game.
For example, the favorite may have a -2.5 point spread to cover. This would mean, they need to win by over 2.5 points, so if the team won by 3 or higher, they would cover. If they won by less, or lost, they didn’t cover.
Underdogs work in a similar fashion, but have a positive number, like +4.5. That would mean they need to either win or lose by less than 4.5 points in order to cover.
Advantages of Placing ATS Bets
The advantage to betting against the spread is that you are given an equal odds type bet, and that allows you to make back around equal value to what you’re wagering. At the same time, it’s pretty easy to understand, and makes for a nice split amongst bettors each week.
Disadvantages of Betting Spreads
Betting against the spread has it’s flaws. The team you bet on could win, but not by enough and that is heartbreaking. On top of that, there is also the fact that random plays have a huge impact on final scores, and make spreads very difficult to predict at times.
NFL Week 7 Against the Spread Predictions: Game-by-Game Analysis
Jaguars (-1) at Saints
Analysis: Thursday Night draws an intriguing matchup where the Saints play host against Jacksonville. New Orleans has opened up offensively with RB Alvin Kamara rejoining the team, allowing for another key weapon to the team especially in the passing game. QB Derek Carr will still be the determining factor in this one, but if he can bring his A-game then the Saints could notch a nice home victory.
For Jacksonville, the team has been a bit inconsistent week to week based on their expectations at the season’s start. Offensively, they have the weapons and QB Trevor Lawrence to explode, but the team just hasn’t found a consistent groove. Defensively, the pass rush has also struggled a bit, they’ll need to take advantage of the Saints offensive line to give them a good chance to pull a win on Thursday night.
Writer’s Pick: Jaguars -1
The Jacksonville Jaguars have had a bit of Jekyl & Hyde up to this point in the season, but when they’re in rhythm, they have the pieces to beat anyone. New Orleans will make this one tight on Thursday Night, but roll with the Jaguars here to kick off Week 7.
Commanders at Giants (-2.5)
Analysis: Offensively, the Commanders have done admirably up to this point in the season behind QB Sam Howell and the promising surrounding weapons in WRs Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel. Defensively though, the secondary for Washington has struggled too often hurting their chances of winning tight contests. While the Giants passing offense hasn’t been great up to this point in the season, Washington will need to play much better in order to limit New York offensively.
Head Coach Brian Daboll came in last season and sparked optimism for this Giants franchise with a playoff season, but this year things have started to collapse. QB Daniel Jones hasn’t been effective through the air, and the Giants have had too many lackluster outings as a result. Jones has shown he’s capable before, but if he can’t figure it out against Washington, there will be an even stronger level of concern.
Writer’s Pick: Commanders ML
This contest may not get a lot of attention, but it could answer which team will be toward the bottom of the standings by season’s end. Both teams have had their good and bad moments, but the Commanders appear to be the more solidified team and should pull off the upset as a result.
Bills (-3) at Patriots
Analysis: With their issues out of the gates, the sky was falling in New England just a few weeks ago. However, the team has started to work their way back and now get their big test against Buffalo for a chance to prove how legitimate they are. QB Mac Jones has played a big part in the team’s recent momentum, as he has been better on early downs to set the team up for success. Now against Buffalo, he’ll need to be sharp if the Patriots want to score a big time win.
QB Josh Allen has looked like a top contender for the MVP award to this point in the season, and as he goes, so does the Buffalo offense. WR Stefon Diggs has been impossible to match up against, and RB James Cook has helped provide a balanced attack to the offense.
Defensively, the Bills have strongly benefited from their defensive line play, which has generated pressure consistently even without blitzing extra defenders. New England is never easy, but the Bills are one of the top teams in the NFL and shouldn’t have any issue continuing to prove that here in Week 7.
Writer’s Pick: Bills -3
It’s easy to get nervous about underestimating Bill Belichick and the Patriots, but the Buffalo Bills are clearly the better team and should be able to comfortably take this one on the road.
Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers
Analysis: There were many who wrote off QB Baker Mayfield, but he deserves a large amount of credit for how well he’s done righting the ship in Tampa Bay, and as a result, the Buccaneers look to be the top contender to win the NFC South. To do so, though, they’ll need to score this Week 7 victory against Atlanta, who could arguably be one of their top opponents for the crown. If the Tampa Bay defense continues to stifle the opposing offense, though, then they have a great chance at securing the victory.
Head Coach Arthur Smith has done a nice job keeping this Falcons team competitive in contests, and a large part of that is the offensive identity behind RB Bijan Robinson. The Falcons have plenty of promising weapons in the passing game as well, but the inconsistent play of QB Desmond Ridder has been the issue holding them back. If something doesn’t change for Ridder, then we could potentially see a change at the position.
Writer’s Pick: Buccaneers ML
Unfortunately for Atlanta, the Buccaneers have one of the best-run defenses in the league. Thus, their offense will have to rely on Ridder to open things up, and that hasn’t gone well to this point in the season. Go with Tampa Bay to win this one in a low-scoring, gritty affair.
Lions at Ravens (-2.5)
Analysis: Despite having their fair share of injuries, the Ravens have found a way to remain one of the league’s best teams up to this point in the season. QB Lamar Jackson looks in control of the offense, and TE Mark Andrews remains one of the best weapons in the league.
Defensively, the team has found ways to make offenses uncomfortable with their front seven play, helping them take over games. Detroit won’t be easy, but the Ravens have already been tested plenty to this point and should be more than ready for this one.
The Lions travel to Baltimore on path to win the division, but the team has higher aspirations than just making a playoff appearance, they want to prove themselves. QB Jared Goff has played well and his connections with WR Amon Ra St. Brown and TE Sam LaPorta have helped open the offense, while DE Aidan Hutchinson has been a star for the defense. In what will be a great cross-conference battle, this Detroit team should bring plenty of intensity.
Writer’s Pick: Ravens -2.5
For an afternoon contest, this Ravens vs Lions game is quite a treat. This will be a battle of two very strong ground attacks, but the Ravens appear to have the stronger defensive unit that should give them a leg up in this contest, that should be enough for them to cover a 2.5-point spread.
Browns (-3) at Colts
Analysis: There are games this year where you’ll watch the Browns and be very impressed, then there are games you will watch where they just struggle to find success. Still, Cleveland has plenty of talent throughout their roster. RB Jerome Ford has done an admirable job filling in for RB Nick Chubb, but QB Deshaun Watson has to play at a high level to carry this team, and Week 7 will be a good test for that.
While Indianapolis is in a “rebuilding year” there is plenty of optimism surrounding the franchise as QB Anthony Richardson has been extremely exciting in his flashes. The play-to-play consistency will need to happen for the Colts to reach that next level, but they make enough big plays that this could be a tight contest for Cleveland.
Writer’s Pick: Browns -3
The Colts are a sneaky team each week to keep games close. S, against a Cleveland team that has been inconsistent, they could surprise. However, as things stand, expect the Browns to be able to win this one by over a field goal difference.
Raiders at Bears (-1)
Analysis: Things got off to a rocky start for the Bears to begin the season, but the offense has started to find some success behind QB Justin Fields and WR DJ Moore, finding a great connection to help the offense produce.
The team still needs to remain steady in the second half, which has been hit or miss, but there is hope for Chicago, which is a welcome change from the first four weeks. Defensively, the Bears have had more issues, the secondary is young but growing though. If they can hold up against the WR tandem of Davante Adams and Jakobi Meyers, they could escape with the win.
For Las Vegas, things have been stressful, resulting in some spoken frustrations from the team’s stars. QB Jimmy Garoppolo remains efficient, so with him, they could pull out tight games. However, the team has struggled defensively to hold up in the passing game, and it’s led to some tough losses because of it. Now, against Chicago, the team will need to pull out the victory, or we could see trade calls start to roll in for the roster.
Writer’s Pick: Bears -1
Perhaps a game that could have heavy implications for the top pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Bears have looked much improved from their initial stumbles out of the gates. They still have plenty of red flags, but they have the firepower to pull out a win at home against the Raiders as long as they don’t shoot themselves in the foot enough times.
Cardinals at Seahawks (-7)
Analysis: Seattle had a rocky Week 1 but has really bounced back from that outing and appears to be one of the better teams in the league as a result. QB Geno Smith remains one of the top passers out there, and with the supporting cast surrounding him, that’s bound to create results.
The offense is also extremely balanced, with RB Kenneth Walker III producing well on the ground. Defensively, the Seahawks secondary is extremely flashy on top of that, making it extremely difficult to score against them.
For Arizona, many expected the team to be easily pushed over each week, but they’ve proven that won’t be the case. RB James Conner has helped keep the offense stable, and Head Coach Jonathan Gannon has helped the defense outperform expectations. Against a talented Seattle squad, they won’t have it easy, but they have the capabilities to compete.
Writer’s Pick: Cardinals +7
Seattle is the better team in this one, point blank. However, this Cardinals team is sneaky and will surprise you on occasion to let everyone know they aren’t just here to roll over and die. The Seahawks will likely win this one, but don’t be surprised to see Arizona keep it closer than this 7-point spread.
Steelers (-1) at Rams
Analysis: After last season, the expectations surrounding the Rams were low, but they’ve proven to have bounced back and now are fighting to break into the NFC playoff field. QB Matthew Stafford has looked phenomenal, and with the WR trio of Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua, and Tutu Atwell, the passing game is hard to stop. To add onto that, RB Kyren Williams has done well with the bell-cow role and should continue to do so throughout the rest of the season. Defensively, the Rams have had their inconsistencies, but they’ve looked promising for a young unit and should look better each week with more experience.
For Pittsburgh, Offensive Coordinator Matt Canada is the big talking point. The offense has not been able to find rhythm and many blame him for that. QB Kenny Pickett hasn’t been able to make the second-year jump, and they’ll need him to if the Steelers want to make anything this season. Defensively, the secondary has had its hiccups as CB Patrick Peterson has started to show his age. With Mike Tomlin, the Steelers will never be bad, but things haven’t looked great so far.
Writer’s Pick: Rams ML
The upset picks have gotten a bit heavy, but the Rams have simply looked like the better team up to this point in the season. The Steelers have the talent to pull this one out, but roll with what we’ve seen so far. That’s Stafford and this Rams team has looked like a quality football team who should handle business here at home.
Packers at Broncos (-3.5)
Analysis: Head Coach Sean Payton arrived in Denver with expectations to fix what was a disappointing last season, but it’s been more of the same for the Broncos. QB Russell Wilson has looked better, but the defense has been terrible up to this point in the season, and there hasn’t been many signs of promise to fix it.
QB Jordan Love has shown nice promise through the first six games in the season, and the offense has started to find its groove as of late. WR Romeo Doubs and RB Aaron Jones are the stars of the unit that have helped prop up this offense. Defensively, the team has held up well and looks like a formidable unit. If the Packers can keep up their recent play, they should be in a good position to win on the road.
Writer’s Pick: Packers +3.5
If the panic button hasn’t already been pushed in Denver, it needs to be. The team just hasn’t been able to consistently put together strong enough performances to put themselves in a position to contend. The Packers, however, have and should be able to pull this one out in the game’s crucial moments.
Chargers at Chiefs (-5.5)
Analysis: QB Justin Herbert has played at a high level and for many Charger fans, this Week 7 game holds plenty of importance for the team to prove itself as a legitimate contender. The Chargers have sat in the back seat to the Chiefs for much of the Mahomes era, and with their star QB, they are hoping to eventually break ahead of them. The offense has been very strong under the playcalling of Offensive Coordinator Kellen Moore. Now it will fall on the defense to step up in order to pull off the big time upset.
The Chiefs remain one of the NFL’s best teams, but they haven’t looked up to the level of last year’s team through the first six weeks. QB Patrick Mahomes is still very good, but from a production standpoint, the offense hasn’t been as deadly as it was last season. However, the defense has been extremely impressive up to this point. It feels like a matter of if not when for Mahomes and the passing game, but if it doesn’t happen in Week 7 could they fall to the Chargers?
Writer’s Pick: Chiefs -5.5
The Chargers have had aspirations of beating the Chiefs almost every offseason but by the time the regular season comes, it just doesn’t work out for them. Expect more of the same here as Kansas City has started to find their groove, and they won’t go lightly against a divisional foe.
Dolphins at Eagles (-3)
Analysis: As far as rushing attack goes, the Philadelphia Eagles remain one of the most dominant teams on the ground and RB D’Andre Swift has been a star because of it. The offense also is hard to match up against when the passing game features star QB Jalen Hurts throwing to weapons like WRs AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. The team has had second half troubles that could bite this team if they lose momentum against the wrong team, but to this point, they’ve remained strong and should continue to do so.
The Dolphins offensive attack has been one of the most exciting in football, which sets this game up against Philadelphia to be an extremely exciting game. QB Tua Tagovailoa has been healthy this year, which has helped the team remain strong through the first chunk of the season.
However, Defensive Coordinator Vic Fangio has struggled to get his system working with the Dolphins to this point which has led to too much production from opposing offenses so far. If that doesn’t change, the Eagles could have a field day.
Writer’s Pick: Eagles -3
What a treat we’re in store for on Sunday Night in a game that genuinely could be a Super Bowl preview. As two of the best teams duke it out for a big Week 7 victory, the Dolphins just haven’t had the defensive strength to give confidence that they will hold up in this one, Philadelphia should win because of it.
49ers (-1) at Vikings
Analysis: QB Brock Purdy faced many doubters from his play last season, but he’s continued to play at a high level for this 49er offense to produce. RB Christian McCaffrey has positioned himself as a legitimate threat to win MVP in spite of it’s QB history to this point. Then defensively, San Francisco remains one of the strongest units across the league. On Monday Night, they’re the clear favorite over Minnesota.
The Vikings have had their flashes through the first six games as QB Kirk Cousins and WR Justin Jefferson remain a deadly duo in the passing game. However, the defense has not done well so far behind Defensive Coordinator Brian Flores. The system is meant for plenty of blitzing and pressure, but the secondary has not held up enough for that to work effectively and has been the team’s major weak spot so far. There’s still plenty of season left to go, but if the Vikings want to get back to the playoffs, then the defense will need to vastly improve.
Writer’s Pick: 49ers -1
A 1-point spread here seems disrespectful to San Francisc, who looks like one of the best teams in the NFL, while the Vikings have struggled to hold up defensively up to this point. The 49ers should comfortably control this one on Monday night.
How to Bet on NFL Spreads During Week 7
Week 7 has a great selection of games and wagers to consider, but if you haven’t set up an account yet then you’re missing out on the action! Here is a step by step guide to get registered with Bovada, our top recommended sportsbook.
Step 1: Register for a Sportsbook Account
- Visit Bovada and click the green ‘Join’ button
- Fill out all the signup information as needed to register
Step 2: Activate Your Account
- Check your email account for the verification link
- If you can’t find it, try checking your junk folder
- Once you’ve found it
- Verify your account by clicking the confirmation link
Step 3: Make Your First Deposit
- Deposit money into your account using your preferred payment method
- Take advantage of the site’s promotional offer
Step 4: Place Your Bets Online
- Go to the Sportsbook
- Start placing your bets with Bovada
Week 7 NFL Against the Spread Betting Tips & Strategies
You may be more than ready to jump into the action, but before you do, here are some betting tips that can give you a leg up on the sportsbooks, and help make the most of your online NFL betting experience.
1. Sign Up With Multiple Sportsbooks
When you sign up with a sportsbook, you’ll often get a sign on bonus. So why not capitalize on that through numerous platforms. In addition to that, you can also compare odds on bets you want to make in order to find which site will give you the most returns. It’s a no risk strategy that can be a huge advantage every week. And if you want to know how to bet on NFL online, have one more look at our article and tips.
2. Find & Utilize Promotional Offers
Each and every day sportsbooks are constantly offering promotional offers to encourage users to bet on their platform. Whether it’s boosts, free bets, or anything else, it’s well worth keeping track of. Worst case scenario, you don’t see anything you like. However, it’s worth taking advantage of for the chance to increase your potential payout if you plan on NFL betting anyway.
3. Stay Up To Date On The Injury Reports
The NFL season is long and grueling, and some players can be on the receiving end of that. When you look at betting lines, you can often miss out on crucial information for player injuries, so find a source to track that information so you’re as informed as you can be when placing bets all season long.
Best Sites to Bet Against the Spread On Week 7 Of The 2023 – 2024 NFL Season
Bovada: Bovada is a highly dependable sports betting platform that is one of the best in the industry. New users who sign up will be eligible for a 50% deposit match for new sign-ups up to $250 using fiat currency or a 75% match up to $750 with Bitcoin using code BTCSWB750. A 5x rollover applies to both bonuses.
BUSR: BUSR has a great rotation of daily promotional offers that allow users to make the most of their bets. Register for an account and you could be eligible to take advantage of their welcome offer, where you’ll receive a $1,500 sign-on bonus.
BetOnline: BetOnline is an easy to navigate platform perfect for new & experienced bettors alike. Plus they sweeten the pot to get you to sign up with their 50% deposit match up to $1,000, although you’ll have to make a $55 deposit and meet a 10x rollover.
MyBookie: MyBookie is great for betting against the spread as they tend to keep their lines closer. Sign up today and you could be eligible for a 50% deposit match of up to $1,000 with a $50 minimum deposit.
Sportsbetting.ag: Sportsbetting.ag is notorious for giving out great odds for underdogs, which can pay off big time. Get an account made and start placing bets today! They offer a sign-up promotion so that you can be eligible for a 50% welcome bonus up to $1,000 using code SB1000, although a $55 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply.
Want to bet on NFL? Check out these articles:
Guide to NFL Week 7 ATS Betting: Frequently Asked Questions
With so much still left to be answered regarding Week 7 of the NFL Season, here are some frequently asked questions to help provide further clarity and get you ready to start placing bets.
Is Betting ATS On the NFL Safe?
So long as you bet responsibly, betting against the spread is safe to do. Find a reliable sportsbook, and do your research, but it is definitely a good bet system to stick with.
When Will Week 7 of the NFL Start?
Week 7 of the NFL season kicks off Thursday, October 19th when the Jacksonville Jaguars travel to face off against the New Orleans Saints. The game is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM EST and will be streamed on Amazon Prime Video.
What Teams Aren’t Playing In Week 7?
There are six teams not playing in Week 7 of the NFL season. The Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals, Dallas Cowboys, Houston Texans, New York Jets, and Tennessee Titans all have a Week 7 bye.
Why Should I Bet On NFL Spreads Over Other Options?
Choosing to bet on spreads is beneficial because it is a great way to find even odds for wagers you place. Betting on who wins is often too lopsided when choosing favorites, so if you can determine the point differentia, then it can be quite lucrative.
Here are our similar predictions:
Ready to Place Your NFL Week 7 Against the Spread Bets?
Now you’re all set and ready to place your bets for Week 7, and there will be plenty of great options on some of our top recommended sportsbooks above. For the best platform, we prefer Bovada.
Regardless of where you bet though, be sure that you do so safely and responsibly.
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