The NFL season has now gone over 10 weeks but there is still plenty of football left to be played. There is countless chaos and headlines still to be had, so buckle in, follow along, and let’s dive into the games on tap for Week 11.
NFL Week 11 Odds & Spreads (Courtesy of Bovada)
Thursday Night Football (Nov. 16th)
8:15 PM EST
- Bengals (-1) at Ravens
Sunday Football (Nov. 19th)
1:00 PM EST
- Titans at Jaguars (-2.5)
- Chargers (-3.5) at Packers
- Giants at Commanders (-2.5)
- Raiders at Dolphins (-9.5)
- Cardinals at Texans (-1)
- Bears at Lions (-7.5)
- Steelers at Browns (-4.5)
- Cowboys (-13.5) at Panthers
4:05 PM EST
- Buccaneers at 49ers (-4.5)
4:25 PM EST
- Seahawks (-3) at Rams
- Jets at Bills (-6.5)
8:20 PM EST
- Vikings at Broncos (-2.5)
Monday Night Football (Oct. 20th)
8:15 PM EST
- Eagles at Chiefs (-1)
Overview of the 2023 NFL Season: Storylines to Follow in Week 11
There is a constant stream of headlines each week of the NFL season, and Week 11 has plenty to keep an eye on. Here are some of the top stories circulating around the league for this week of play.
Super Bowl LVII Rematch
Monday Night Football will be extremely exciting in Week 11 as the Kansas City Chiefs play host to the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of the past Super Bowl. Both teams look very good to this point, so this could even be a preview for Super Bowl LVIII as well.
Divisional Face-Offs Galore
Games within the divisions of the NFL are constantly chaotic, and the Week 11 slate is filled with such games. It begins on Thursday when the Bengals and Ravens face off, but then Sunday has Titans vs Jaguars, Giants vs Commanders, Bears vs Lions, Steelers vs Browns, Seahawks vs Rams, and Jets vs Bills all on the schedule. It should make for an exciting week of football.
The Never Ending Pursuit of Playoffs
While each week has equal importance for a team as they pursue the postseason, there are some especially notable contests on the Week 11 agenda that could be influential for teams as they battle it out for a spot in the field of 14.
For teams like the Las Vegas Raiders versus Miami, the Buccaneers against the 49ers, and the Minnesota Vikings going against Denver. They all have a chance to score crucial victories in Week 11 to help their chances of getting into the playoff picture.
Explaining NFL ATS Bets: What They Are, and the Pros & Cons of Betting Them
What Are Spreads?
Spreads are a point differential placed on matches to offset any perceived differences in the talent level between two teams. While the sportsbooks don’t know exactly how the game will play out, they are setting lines with the intention of getting equal interest on both sides from bettors in the contest.
Reading a Spread
When it comes to reading a spread, there are three different types to consider. The favorite in the contest will have a negative number. That team is projected to win, but must win by more than whatever negative number spread they have in order to cover. For example, if a team is a 3.5-point favorite then they would need to win by 4 or more to cover.
Next is the underdog for the game, that team will have a positive number for their spread. For example they may have a line of +6.5, they would need to lose by 6 or less (or win) in order to cover.
Then there is a “pick ‘em” spread, where the matchup is already viewed by oddsmakers to be even, and you are just choosing who you expect to win in the game with no point differential needed.
Advantages of Placing ATS Bets
Betting against the spread is beneficial because it is one of the most researched and covered betting systems, therefore, it is easy to properly assess. On top of that, you get a good method of betting where you are routinely making back similar money to what you are wagering.
Disadvantages of Betting Spreads
The disadvantage of betting spreads is that there are times when the outcome can change on a simple play, and with spreads, you are risking picking the right team who won but not by enough.
NFL Week 11 Against the Spread Predictions: Game-by-Game Analysis at Expert NFL ATS Picks
There are countless intriguing spreads for each game of the Week 11 slate. With so much excitement on tap for the week ahead, here is a breakdown of each contest and some analysis of the betting information of it all.
Bengals (-1) at Ravens
Analysis: QB Joe Burrow entered the season with some injury issues that played a large part in the team stumbling out of the gates, including a Week 2 loss to Baltimore at home. Now, they hit the road to try and get revenge with plenty of momentum behind them as one of the top teams in the league. Assuming they’re playing to the level they’ve shown as of late, they are more than capable of scoring a big road victory on Thursday night.
Early on in the season, the Ravens had some issues offensively producing points. However, they seemed to shake that issue and have been able to get fully in rhythm offensively in order to sit atop the AFC North. QB Lamar Jackson continues to play at a high level and could have this Ravens team contending for a Super Bowl. However, their current focus is on the Bengals for Week 11.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Bengals -1
There aren’t many teams as hot right now as the Cincinnati Bengals are in the NFL. While it won’t be easy to go against their rival on the road, Joe Burrow and company should be able to squeeze out the victory.
Titans at Jaguars (-2.5)
Analysis: Rookie QB Will Levis has sparked excitement in the Titans fanbase as potentially being the face of the future. However, the team is feeling the pressure as they sit in the heat of the NFL playoff race. If they can score a victory over the Jaguars in Week 11, it could be huge for their chances.
The Jaguars head into Week 11 looking to bounce back from their loss to the 49ers as they look to keep an arm’s length lead at the top over the rest of the division. RB Travis Etienne has been a phenomenal piece of the team’s offense, but the team still needs to take that next step in order to solidify itself as a legitimate contender.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Jaguars -2.5
This one could be a tighter one than people expect, but the Titans have gotten a much-needed boost in confidence as of late. However, the Jaguars still remain the AFC South’s best and should be able to win by a field goal or more.
Chargers (-3.5) at Packers
Analysis: QB Justin Herbert has been one of the most productive passers in the league which has helped the offense score as a result. Defensively however, they have had their issues especially in the secondary. Still, the team is competitive, and enters this game as a favorite because of their flashes.
For Green Bay, the offensive line has been a rough patch for the team that has struggled to consistently score as a result. QB Jordan Love has shown flashes, but the team just hasn’t been able to pull out games through the first ten weeks.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Chargers -3.5
The Chargers have done a good job taking care of business, and they are the better team in this one. It could be somewhat close, but the Los Angeles offense should get them the victory.
Giants at Commanders (-2.5)
Analysis: QB Sam Howell has shown flashes, but overall the team has been inconsistent. The defense has been the main reason as the secondary has struggled to limit opposing offenses. Could thing change against a struggling Giants ballclub?
With QB Daniel Jones back in the fold, there is some optimism but the Giants have been disappointing this season. The team lacks a go-to weapon in the passing game and struggles because of it. However, the Commanders could be a nice opportunity to gain momentum.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Giants ML
This game between two struggling teams could be a snoozefest, but that doesn’t change the betting opportunity. As underdogs, the Giants could be a smart play here in Week 11.
Raiders at Dolphins (-9.5)
Analysis: The Raiders have benefitted from an easy schedule and a little bit of luck but they’re still in the playoff hunt all the same. QB Jimmy Garoppolo has struggled with turnover issues despite having a strong supporting cast. If he can’t perform here against Miami, then the chances of winning are bleak.
For Miami, the team has been one of the scariest offenses in the league. QB Tua Tagovailoa is an MVP candidate, but the defense has improved with CB Jalen Ramsey returning to action. The Dolphins have the capabilities to light up the scoreboard, can they continue that dominance here at home?
Writer’s Expert Pick: Dolphins -9.5
Miami has the firepower to blow out teams while the Raiders have struggled to consistently produce. Expect a Miami blowout in this one as a result.
Cardinals at Texans (-1)
Analysis: QB Kyler Murray has returned to the team, but the Cardinals have still had their struggles. WR Marquise Brown has been a phenomenal weapon in the offense, but defensively the team is still lacking. Can they score a victory against Houston?
Rookie QB CJ Stroud has been very promising to this point and that should continue. Defensively, the Texans have been impressive under the leadership of new Head Coach DeMeco Ryans. They’ll need to remain strong against this Cardinals passing attack.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Texans -1
The Cardinals’ struggles should continue to be exploited by the high-powered Texans passing attack. It could be close, but Houston is the better team to this point.
Bears at Lions (-7.5)
Analysis: For Chicago, the team has had some major struggles but with QB Justin Fields back healthy there is hope in the back part of the season. The Bears are in a trial phase as they are finding out who will be a part of the long-term for the team. That doesn’t mean they’re content losing here against Detroit though.
For Detroit, the team is one of the more formidable franchises in the league this season. QB Jared Goff has been phenomenal leading this offense, and if the team can keep it up they could make an interesting playoff push. Against Chicago, they’ll need to remain focused.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Lions -7.5
Chicago has potential, but the Lions have proof. All season they’ve looked the better team, and should handle business at home against their division rival.
Steelers at Browns (-4.5)
Analysis: In a critical AFC North matchup, the Steelers come in as underdogs as they hit the road to go to Cleveland. The Pittsburgh team has been inconsistent but still remain in the thick of the playoff race, but a loss here could be critical to their chances.
For Cleveland, the return of QB Deshaun Watson couldn’t come soon enough. Now that he’s back though, the team is ready to compete. The clock is ticking though, the AFC playoff picture will likely come down to the wire and a loss to the Steelers could come back to bite them at season’s end.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Steelers +4.5
Both teams have had some sloppy play but continue to win games. That means this game likely comes down to coaching, and there aren’t many better than Mike Tomlin. Roll with the Steelers as underdogs.
Cowboys (-13.5) at Panthers
Analysis: This Dallas team has had some great moments this season with QB Dak Prescott as the key identity of the team’s success. Against a struggling Panthers team, he should be able to make some big plays with WR CeeDee Lamb in order to produce in this one.
QB Bryce Young has shown promise to make Carolina have hope for their future, but the team has had far too many issues to this point. If they want to pull out the upset, Defensive Coordinator Ejiro Evero will need to stall the Cowboys offensive attack.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Cowboys -13.5
The Cowboys are capable of controlling when in rhythm. The Panthers are arguably one of the worst teams in football. This spread is large, but Dallas should handle it.
Buccaneers at 49ers (-4.5)
Analysis: The Buccaneers enter this contest with pressure to win as they look to compete for the NFC South. The defense is phenomenal at slowing the run which bodes well for their chances against San Francisco, but QB Baker Mayfield and this offense will need to step up.
The 49ers hit a cold streak dropping three straight games after winning their first six. Now, the team looks to be back after beating the Jaguars last week. QB Brock Purdy has had both great and concerning outings, he will need to have a strong one against Jacksonville to get the win.
Writer’s Expert Pick: 49ers -4.5
The 49ers have shaken their midseason slump and seem back in full force. The Buccaneers have shown promise, but are likely outmatched in this game.
Seahawks (-3) at Rams
Analysis: For Seattle, the team has been very impressive on both sides of the football. With the star power on the roster, the team is a sneaky contender to do some damage. Here in Week 11 they’ll want revenge against the Rams.
For Los Angeles, injuries have kept this team from getting time at full-strength. Still, this season has been impressive versus preseason expectations. QB Matthew Stafford and the WR duo of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua will be crucial in order for them to win in Week 11.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Rams +3
The Rams were completely in control when these two faced off in the season opener. While it should be closer, Los Angeles is the better play here as the underdog in this contest.
Jets at Bills (-6.5)
Analysis: QB Josh Allen has had a few too many mishaps but the passer is still the star of this team. Should he clean up his play, Buffalo could compete with anyone. He’ll need to be sharp against a stingy Jets team looking to sweep the season series.
The Jets have formed an identity behind their stifling defense. However, the offense has improved on the shoulders of RB Breece Hall. The team needs to continue to evolve offensively, but there is hope they can go against some of the top teams in the league.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Bills -6.5
Week 1 was impressive for New York, but the Bills remain one of the NFL’s best and should get revenge in the form of a controlling victory.
Vikings at Broncos (-2.5)
Analysis: After the loss of QB Kirk Cousins to a torn achilles, the Vikings momentum has stalled as they were starting to work back from a slow start. Unfortunately, injuries are a part of the NFL, but Minnesota needs someone to step up offensively for there to be much hope going forward.
The Broncos put up an impressive Week 9 victory over Kansas City but overall still seem to have plenty of issues. While they may be able to escape the basement of the league, the team still has a long way to go before they can reach the level they’d hoped when bringing in Head Coach Sean Payton.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Vikings +2.5
Minnesota has had their issues recovering from the loss of their stars, but Denver is in an equally concerning spot with their season. This contest may not be very entertaining, but the Vikings have what it takes to win.
Eagles at Chiefs (-1)
Analysis: Kansas City hosts the Eagles on Monday Night with a week of rest off of their bye week. The Chiefs have had some ups and downs this season including a rough Week 8 loss to Denver. However, they still show plenty of promise as one of the top teams in the league.
The Eagles will also be coming off of their bye week coming into Monday Night with plenty of success so far. WR AJ Brown has been sensational in the passing game, but the Philadelphia defense continues to be the identity of the team. Both will need to play well to take home the victory.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Chiefs -1
In what will likely be the most-watched game of the season, the Chiefs should be able to repeat their success from last year. While both teams are great, it’s hard to ever bet against the league’s best in Patrick Mahomes.
Want to know more? Check out our predictions below:
How to Bet on NFL Spreads During Week 11
With countless great sites and plenty of intriguing lines, it can be difficult just to get started. Here’s how to bet on NFL online:
Step 1: Register for a Sportsbook Account
- Visit Bovada and click the red ‘Join Now’ button
- Fill out all the signup information as needed to register
Step 2: Activate Your Account
- Check your email account for the verification link
- If you can’t find it, try checking your junk folder
- Once you’ve found it, verify your account by clicking the link
Step 3: Make Your First Deposit
- Open the cashier section of the Bovada page
- Deposit money into your account using your preferred payment method
- Take advantage of the site’s promotional offer
Step 4: Place Your Week Eleven ATS Bets Online
- Go to the Sportsbook
- Start placing your bets with Bovada
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Week 11 NFL Against the Spread Betting Tips & Strategies
It’s easy to dive in head first when making your NFL betting picks. However, there are tips that you should add to your process that can put you a step ahead when betting. Here are a few strategies worth considering when you start betting this week.
1. Sign Up With Multiple Sportsbooks
Get yourself registered with multiple sportsbooks and you can take advantage of the biggest advantage, the advantage of choice! By being signed up with numerous platforms you can find where your bets will be more beneficial, well worth doing.
2. Find & Utilize Promotional Offers
Betting platforms are desperate to get your business, they’ve made the foolish mistake of thinking they will get your money. So as a result, they offer countless odds boosts and promotional deals for you to use when wagering on football. Just be sure to take a look around and use the offers to your advantage for the NFL.
3. Stay Up To Date On The Injury Reports
This could be the most important part of sports betting. Each week, there are countless players listed on the injury report and potentially missing games. Find a source that will keep you up to date on the latest injury news so that you are fully up to date on information when placing your bets.
Discover more of our related articles:
Best Sites to Bet Against the Spread On Week 11 Of The 2023 – 2024 NFL Season
Bovada: Bovada is an established sports betting platform that has a great selection of bets each week and is the best all-around experience for users. Register today in order to receive a 50% deposit match for new sign-ups up to $250 using fiat currency or a 75% match up to $750 with Bitcoin using code BTCSWB750. A 5x rollover applies to both bonuses.
BUSR: BUSR offers promotions constantly on their platform, giving a great chance to capitalize on your bets with even more returns. If that isn’t already great, they have a welcome promotion where you’ll receive a $2,500 sign-on bonus.
BetOnline: BetOnline is a great platform that is extremely user-friendly, making it easy to find the best bets you want for the Week 11 slate. New users will be offered their welcome bonus, a 50% deposit match up to $1,000, although you’ll have to make a $55 deposit and meet a 10x rollover.
MyBookie: MyBookie offers tighter odds than most platforms, making it easy to pick with confidence when betting against the spread. Get registered now and you’ll be able to get their sign-up promotion so that you can be eligible for a 50% deposit match of up to $1,000 with a $50 minimum deposit.
Sportsbetting.ag: Sportsbetting.ag is a great platform that is the place to be when betting underdogs as they offer better odds for those that aren’t favored in Week 11 games. They make it easy to sign up before they have a 50% welcome bonus up to $1,000 using code SB1000, although a $55 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply.
Guide to NFL Week 11 ATS Betting & Free NFL Picks ATS
Is Betting Against The Spread On the NFL Safe?
Betting against the spread is safe so long as you find a safe betting platform that will dependably pay you out on successful bets.
So long as you are on a dependable platform, betting on spreads is safe so long as you do your research and only wager safely and responsibly.
When Will Week 11 of the NFL Start?
Week 11 of the NFL season kicks off Thursday when the Cincinnati Bengals travel to Baltimore to face off against the Ravens. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:15 PM EST and will be available for streaming on Amazon Prime Video.
Why Should I Bet On NFL Spreads Over Other Options?
Betting on spreads is worth consideration when placing wagers because there is often plenty of analysis and research done on each game, meaning you can feel confident in your research. On top of that, it is a great way to build parlays or make back similar money to what you wager.
Ready to Place Your NFL Week 11 Against the Spread Bets?
With the odds ready and available and now the breakdown of each contest, it is time for you to make your decisions for the Week 11 slate. For where to place your bets, our top recommended platform would have to be Bovada, but any of the sites discussed above are definitely great options.
Regardless of where you choose to wager though, we urge you to do so safely and responsibly.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. While online gambling for free NFL picks ATS can come as an entertainment form, you should never prioritize gambling to solve financial problems.
Do you have problems with gambling, or do you know someone that does? Regardless of what party it might be, it’s crucial to quickly get a hold of this situation by calling the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. When you call, you’re immediately transferred to an advisor on hand to give you the desired help needed to make gambling safer for you and your loved ones. That said, it’s crucial to remember that all gambling sites and guides are for those who are 21+ only.
Remember, casino sites listed in our reviews might not be accessible in your region. As a result, it’s necessary to check local laws and regulations to see whether online gambling is legal or not.
For resources free gambling addiction resources, visit these organizations: