Officially past the halfway mark, teams look ahead to the back half of the season.
With only a limited time remaining on the schedule, it’s time to see who will thrive in adversity and break into the playoff field and who will crumble.
For now though, each team’s focus is on Week 10, and here is the betting breakdown of each game on the agenda – using our top week 10 betting site Bovada as a backdrop.
Let’s break down NFL week 10 picks ATS.
NFL Week 10 Odds & Spreads (Courtesy of Bovada)
Thursday Night Football (Nov. 9th)
8:15 PM EST
- Panthers at Bears (-1)
Sunday Football (Nov. 12th)
9:30 AM EST
- Colts vs Patriots (-2.5)
1:00 PM EST
- Texans at Bengals (-4.5)
- Saints at Vikings (-2.5)
- Packers at Steelers (-3)
- Titans at Buccaneers (-3)
- 49ers (-3.5) at Jaguars
- Browns at Ravens (-1)
4:05 PM EST
- Falcons (-2.5) at Cardinals
- Lions (-2.5) at Chargers
4:25 PM EST
- Giants at Cowboys (-12.5)
- Commanders at Seahawks (-6.5)
8:20 PM EST
- Jets (-3.5) at Raiders
Monday Night Football (Nov 13th)
8:15 PM EST
- Broncos at Bills (-6.5)
Overview of the 2023 NFL Season: Storylines to Follow in Week 10
Each game of the NFL season is bound to come with storylines worth monitoring, but from a larger scope, here are some of the top storylines that you should keep an eye out for in Week 10 of the NFL season.
The Barometer Test Around The NFL
There are plenty of great “tests” around Week 10 for teams to determine where they stand in the NFL as far as talent.
The Vikings and Saints are two teams battling it out for a potentially tight NFL wildcard race, and scoring a victory could be big.
Similarly, the Jacksonville Jaguars will go against the 49ers for a chance to prove themselves against one of the best teams in the NFL. Scoring a victory would be a nice boost of momentum as they enter the back half of the season.
Clarity In The Draft Order
While there are countless good teams on tap to face off, there are some games that could have major implications for the 2024 NFL Draft.
The Bears own both first round picks in this contest, but their game against Carolina could shake up the top of the draft.
The Patriots and Colts will play in Frankfurt where the loser could easily wind up in the bottom five selections come April.
The AFC North Battle Continues
The Ravens and Browns square off in Week 10 for an advantage in the tightest division in football.
Both teams will desperately want to score a big time win, so the team who pulls out victorious will score a crucial leg up in the standings.
Explaining NFL ATS Bets: What They Are, and the Pros & Cons of Betting ATS in Week 10
What Are Spreads?
NFL betting spreads are a tool used in sports betting to create an equal balance between both teams even when the matchup is lopsided.
A handicap is placed by sports betting platforms in order to level out the playing field and encourage bettors to choose between both teams.
Reading a Spread
There are favorites and underdogs in a common spread. The favorite will have a negative number (ex. -3.5) that they must win the game by over that amount of points in order to cover the spread.
For underdogs, they will have a positive number (ex. +6.5) to where they would have to win or lose by less than that spread total in order to cover.
There is also a “pick em” spread that means you will only have to choose the winner with no score differential needed to cover.
Advantages of Placing ATS Bets
Betting against the spread is a great way of wagering money that will get you equal returns back.
On top of that, it is one of the most covered sports betting props so finding content and research on the topic is easy.
Disadvantages of Betting Spreads
The disadvantages of betting on spreads is that there can be countless factors that completely flip the outcome of a game.
In the same breath, it can be frustrating to pick the correct winner, but that team does not win by enough to cover the spread.
NFL Week 10 Against the Spread Predictions: Free NFL Picks ATS for Week Ten
The NFL week 10 ATS odds are out, the games are here, and now it is time for you to hit the sportsbooks and place your wagers.
While you may be plenty ready, here is a primer for each contest and our predictions for each game.
Panthers at Bears (-1)
Analysis: Things haven’t started as planned for Head Coach Frank Reich in his first year with Carolina, but the team has shown promise at times.
Now on Thursday Night, rookie QB Bryce Young has a chance to score a nice win over a shaky Bears team.
For Chicago, the team has improved from their dreadful start to the season, but defensively continue to have too many issues. QB Justin Fields is back and healthy which helps their chances, but the team must play stronger in order to control and win against Carolina.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Bears -1
It seems the Panthers are the worst team in the league, while Chicago doesn’t rank much better, they should be able to pull out this victory on Thursday night to kick off Week 10.
Colts vs Patriots (-2.5)
Analysis: The Patriots have shown flashes and shown what rock bottom looks like. Now the team has started to level out and play to their capabilities again.
QB Mac Jones has shown promise to reinstill confidence he could be the long-term answer. Still, a loss against Indianapolis could once again send the optimism in spiral.
After losing rookie QB Anthony Richardson, the Colts season seemed ruined. Still, the team remains competitive with their rushing attack of Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss. The team is still very competitive, could they potentially go into Foxboro and pull off the upset?
Writer’s Expert Pick: Patriots -2.5
After hitting rock bottom, the Patriots appear to be slowly climbing back out. They should be able to pull out a win at home against this Indianapolis Colts squad.
Texans at Bengals (-4.5)
Analysis: After a slow start to the year, the Bengals are back as one of the NFL’s top contenders. QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase remain one of the strongest connections in the passing game, and the defense is very stout.
Still, the team needs to continue winning with a tight AFC North.
Head Coach DeMeco Ryans has been phenomenal in year one as well as the young talent for the Texans. The team has an extremely promising future, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t focused on now. Can they cover a 4.5 point spread against a tough Bengals team?
Writer’s Expert Pick: Bengals -4.5
Cincinnati is working their way back into the top of the AFC, so expect them to handle business against a scrappy Texans team here at home.
Saints at Vikings (-2.5)
Analysis: QB Kirk Cousins deserves a large amount of credit for leading a young and struggling team back from the dead to now a potential playoff contender.
The team looks better each week, and as they get healthy they will only be better, but they still need to make up ground for their early season struggles.
New Orleans started the year promising, but there have been too many hiccups as of late that has stalled the team on their season’s path. Minnesota is red hot, but a victory here could play heavily into their favor as the late-season playoff picture starts to take shape.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Vikings -2.5
Hard to argue with momentum and the Vikings seem to have it. After a terrible start to the year, Minnesota now puts themselves with a chance at pulling a wildcard spot. A win here in Week 10 will go a long way toward that.
Packers at Steelers (-3)
Analysis: The offensive line in Green Bay has stalled many opportunities, but the team still shows promise at times. QB Jordan Love needs to clean up his turnovers, and RB Aaron Jones needs to remain healthy. But at full strength, this team is plenty capable.
Despite the stresses of each game, the Steelers have a knack for pulling out victories in tight contests.
QB Kenny Pickett still has his struggles, and the secondary too. But somehow, coach Mike Tomlin finds a way to win, and that isn’t a coincidence.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Packers +3
Green Bay has had their issues all year, but they’ve kept games tight. They may not pull out the win here on the road, but expect this game to be tight and the Packers to cover because of it.
Titans at Buccaneers (-3)
Analysis: Following the injury to QB Ryan Tannehill, the Titans appear to have embraced the rebuild. They have two young QBs who could step in and inspire victory, but for now the team seems more poised to rely on their youth and likely drop most games as a result.
The Buccaneers are still a competitive team but they’ve had too many flat outings that can’t happen if they intend to make a Super Bowl run. The defense remains dominant, but the lack of run game and inconsistency of QB Baker Mayfield leads to too many issues.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Buccaneers -3
Tennessee has fallen apart as of late with injuries and embracing the rebuild. Tampa Bay is looking to win the NFC South and make a playoff push, so expect them to control this one on both sides of the football.
49ers (-3.5) at Jaguars
Analysis: There weren’t any teams who looked as good as San Francisco to start the season but after a string of losses, the team has proven they are mortal.
Still, the offense looks great with RB Christian McCaffrey leading the way. The 49ers have a Super Bowl visit in mind, but for now they’ll need to focus on Jacksonville in Week 10.
The Jaguars have gotten the momentum going and appear to have taken control of the AFC South. QB Trevor Lawrence will lead the offense, if he can remain hot then this could be a tight contest with the Jaguars potentially winning at home.
Writer’s Expert Pick: 49ers -3.5
San Francisco dropped the ball a bit in recent weeks, but they remain one of the top teams in the league. They should be able to come out and win on the road against Jacksonville.
Browns at Ravens (-1)
Analysis: The Ravens and Browns have battled through injury bugs but remained competitive through the first half of the year. For Baltimore, the arrival of rookie WR Zay Flowers has been huge for the passing game and QB Lamar Jackson has been strong as a result. The scoring is still an issue, but the overall efficiency is there to believe things will click soon.
Cleveland has a dominant defensive roster that is capable of shutting down any team, but they also have done well offensively despite losing RB Nick Chubb for the season and QB Deshaun Watson battling injuries this year. There is still work to be done, but the team is capable of competing with anyone.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Ravens -1
Whoever wins this game will get a big leg up in the AFC North battle, but expect Lamar Jackson and this Ravens offense to play well enough to get away with the victory and score a big time win in Week 10.
Falcons (-2.5) at Cardinals
Analysis: Atlanta has been a pleasant surprise this season as Head Coach Arthur Smith has put this team in position to potentially compete for the NFC South title. The rushing attack behind rookie RB Bijan Robinson is very strong, so as long as QB Desmond Ridder is effective the offense has nice promise.
With QB Kyler Murray back there is a new energy for this Cardinals offense as they enter the back-half of the year. The team still has their issues, but the defense has improved under Head Coach Jonathan Gannon and they will be competitive week in and week out.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Cardinals +2.5
The Cardinals started out the year scrappy but unable to pull many victories. With QB Kyler Murray back in the fold expect them to find a way to come out strong and upset the Falcons at home.
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Lions (-2.5) at Chargers
Analysis: Head Coach Dan Campbell has done a tremendous job turning this Lions franchise around and they appear to be one of the NFL’s best when healthy. Against what has been a shaky Chargers squad, Detroit will look to dominate on the ground to secure another big time victory.
For Los Angeles, they have the talent to compete with anyone, but have constantly come up short through this part of the year. QB Justin Herbert remains one of the league’s best but until the team can step up in big moments, they will continue to fail to win big games.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Lions -2.5
Coming off their bye week, the Lions should be well-rested and back near full strength. They’ve proven to be one of the best teams in the league when that’s the case, expect them to cover against an inconsistent Chargers ball club.
Giants at Cowboys (-12.5)
Analysis: The Cowboys are business as usual through the first nine weeks as QB Dak Prescott has performed admirably while the Dallas defense continues to make plays to put the team in position to win. There are some doubters still, but for Week 10 the Cowboys are in position to win convincingly.
Head Coach Brian Daboll has shown promise, but the Giants team has been rocky so far this season. If QB Daniel Jones brings his A-game then this 12.5-point spread is feasible to cover, but after the 40-0 season opener, there isn’t much optimism.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Cowboys -12.5
It’s not easy to win twice, so dominating twice is even harder. However, the Cowboys have the Giants figured out. Expect it to be a thrashing in Week 10 in Dallas.
Commanders at Seahawks (-6.5)
Analysis: QB Sam Howell has shown promise to be the team’s future at QB, but the production needs to be more consistent. Defensively though, the team has struggled. The secondary has not stepped up as needed and it keeps this team from breaking into the next tier of competitiveness.
The Seahawks defense has been tremendous through the first half of the year, but the offense needs to step up. QB Geno Smith has had his bright moments, but there are too many flat outings that will hold this team back from contending if not fixed.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Seahawks -6.5
The Commanders have some upset potential here to keep it close, but the Seahawks are well-rounded enough to control this game on both sides of the football. Expect them to do so.
Jets (-3.5) at Raiders
Analysis: QB Zach Wilson has settled in nicely as a game manager for the Jets, while the run game and defense have stepped up.
The offensive line still has work to be done, and that could get exposed against DE Maxx Crosby but New York has the talent to win this game comfortably.
The Raiders record has them in position to compete for a playoff spot, but on tape there have been many issues. Head Coach Josh McDaniels could be coaching for his life in the back-half of the season though, so the team could play with a fire underneath them because of it.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Jets -3.5
The Raiders have squeaked out plenty of games up to this point in the season, but the Jets should have the defensive strength to shut them down completely – and enough offensive production to couple with that to cover on the road.
Broncos at Bills (-6.5)
Analysis: The Denver Broncos have had a couple of victories, but overall have been disastrous this season. QB Russell Wilson has shown signs of life, but now the defense has been too easily produced against.
If there is any chance of covering the Monday Night football odds of 6.5 points, they must limit the Bills offense.
QB Josh Allen has been one of the best QBs this season, but there have been some doubters of the offense. Still, the Bills remain one of the NFL’s best teams and should be on track to compete for the AFC.
They still must remain focused for their Monday Night contest against Denver.
Writer’s Expert Pick: Bills -6.5
Perhaps this week’s selection is too boring, but sometimes that’s the case. The Bills wrap up a favorite-heavy Week 10 with a Monday Night victory by over a touchdown against the Broncos.
Related: College Football Sportsbooks
How to Bet on NFL Spreads During Week 10
The first nine weeks of the NFL schedule were exciting and filled with excellent betting opportunities, be sure not to miss out on the last nine weeks by getting signed up with Bovada today!
Step 1: Register for a Sportsbook Account
- Visit Bovada and click the red ‘Join Now’ button
- Fill out all the signup information as needed to register
Step 2: Activate Your Account
- Check your email account for the verification link
- If you can’t find it, try checking your junk folder
- Once you’ve found it, verify your account by clicking the link
Step 3: Make Your First Deposit
- Open the cashier section of the Bovada page
- Deposit money into your account using your preferred payment method
- Take advantage of the site’s promotional offer
Step 4: Place Your Week Ten ATS Bets Online
- Go to the Sportsbook
- Start placing your bets with Bovada
Related: NFL MVP Odds
Week 10 NFL Against the Spread Betting Tips & Strategies
There are countless ways to win each week of the NFL season, but there are some tips and tricks that will only benefit you when followed.
Here are some of those strategies for you to keep in mind and get a step ahead of the sportsbooks in Week 10.
1. Sign Up With Multiple Sportsbooks
When you sign up with one sportsbook, it’s easy to stick with it. However, setting up separate accounts with multiple top NFL betting apps is a great way to find the best odds for bets you want to place, and take advantage of the sign-up offers each site will provide you with.
2. Find & Utilize Promotional Offers
Almost daily you can find promotional offers to capitalize on and boost your bets when wagering on the NFL season. On top of that, platforms will also offer sign up bonuses that can increase your total funds for the wagers you get to place through the year.
3. Stay Up To Date On The Injury Reports
This is extremely important when making wagers during the NFL season, because players missing time can be highly impactful on game results. Be sure to find a source to stay up to date on the latest injuries so that you aren’t missing any key information when betting on spreads.
Related: NFL Betting Systems
Bet Against the Spread On Week 10: Where to Make NFL ATS Picks Today
Bovada: Bovada is our top recommended site with a great well-rounded platform easy to enjoy for sports betting users. Sign up today to be eligible for a 50% deposit match for new sign-ups up to $250 using fiat currency or a 75% match up to $750 with Bitcoin using code BTCSWB750. A 5x rollover applies to both bonuses.
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BetOnline: BetOnline is an easy to navigate platform that is well-rounded for picking spreads each week of the season. Register today in order to receive a 50% deposit match up to $1,000, although you’ll have to make a $55 deposit and meet a 10x rollover.
MyBookie: MyBookie has close spreads, making it easier to succeed when picking. It’s also great for NFL prop bets. They make it easy to sign up because they offer a sign up bonus for a 50% deposit match of up to $1,000 with a $50 minimum deposit.
Sportsbetting.ag: Sportsbetting.ag is the home for underdog bettors as they have better odds on teams projected to lose each week. Get registered now and you’ll be able to get their sign-up promotion so that you can be eligible for a 50% welcome bonus up to $1,000 using code SB1000, although a $55 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply.
Guide to NFL Week 10 ATS Betting & Free NFL Picks ATS
Is Betting ATS On the NFL Safe?
It is safe to bet against the spread so long as you find a trusty platform to place your wagers with. Any of our recommended top sites to bet on week 10 are definitely trustworthy to ensure your bets will be rewarded. So as long as you bet responsibly, it should be safe.
When Will Week 10 of the NFL Start?
Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off Thursday November 9th, 2023 – when the Carolina Panthers travel to Chicago to face the Bears. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:15 PM EST and will be available for streaming on Amazon Prime Video.
Why Should I Bet On NFL Spreads Over Other Options?
Betting on spreads is a highly covered topic amongst sports content, so finding thoughts and research is easy. As a result, you can feel at your best when placing wagers. On top of that, it’s a good method of getting back the money you put in when placing wagers.
Related: How to Bet on the NFL
Ready to Place Your NFL Week 10 Against the Spread Bets?
The second half of the season should be filled with plenty of exciting NFL online betting options.
However, we’ve ran you through all you’ll need to know for the slate ahead. For our top sportsbook, we recommend Bovada!
Regardless of whatever NFL week 10 picks you make, be sure to do so safely and responsibly.
Related: How to Bet on College Football
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