There are many strategies to use when betting on NFL, and if you want to start betting on the right foot, it might be smart to consider NFL betting systems.
While it’s true that nothing is guaranteed, if done correctly, some of the strategies we have listed below could help you out. These strategies are based on factors like statistical analysis, team performance, weather conditions, and so much more.
If you are looking for the best site to implement your NFL betting system, make sure to check out our top pick – BetOnline, but consider our runners-up, too.
Let’s dive right in.
What Are NFL Betting Systems & How to Use Them
While there are plenty who approach sports betting with a free-style approach, following their instincts and making guesses, there are also plenty who bring their own methods to the madness. Finding trends and commonalities through the week-to-week results of the NFL to help give an upper hand in their bets throughout the year.
There isn’t ever going to be a system that is foolproof, but finding methods to enhance your odds and potentially make you right more often than you are wrong is something that everyone can get on board with, so finding out what strategies can do that is an important step to accomplishing that.
Best NFL Betting Systems Online
There are many NFL betting systems that you can find. However, not all of them are created equal. Below, we’ve listed some of the best NFL betting systems right now.
Taking Spreads NFL Betting System
Analysis: When it comes to placing bets, it’s easy to be hesitant about rolling with the lines due to the fact that on any given Sunday (or whenever the game takes place!), a match-up can be much closer than anyone predicted.
This is a fair concern, but the truth is teams who win their game covered the spread over 82% (221-48: 2 matchups ended in ties and were marked as N/A) of the time last regular season.
Strengths of Taking Spreads: Through each week of the past regular season, the work record a team had for winning and not covering the spread was 11-5. So when it comes to placing your bets, it’s better to take the spread when picking favorites to win, as more often than not, the system will result in more returns on your wagers.
When it comes to underdogs you expect to win, taking the moneyline is still the better move if you expect them to make the game close.
Weaknesses of Taking Spreads: While the taking spreads method looks promising, the facts are that even in a pick em situation, getting predictions right on games can be extremely difficult to nail down for steady returns. Not to mention that 18% still looms large and could impact your bets which may drive you a little crazy.
Following the Money NFL Betting System
Analysis: When it comes to the world of betting, there are those that drop small dollars in and those who put down major bets, oftentimes with much more research and insight put into their decision for the game. These are referred to as “sharps.”
While there isn’t an exact method to finding out who they’re betting on and if it differs from the general public, the best way is to compare the percentage of bets to the percentage of money placed on the odds put out there.
Other ways to identify this could be when lines are suddenly shifting on sportsbooks for specific games, and the likelihood is that it’s because the majority of these betting professionals are going against the prior odds put down on the game.
Strengths of Following The Money: Following someone else in the betting world can be a great way to capitalize on your money; if you feel uncertain about a game or just want some reassurance on your thoughts, checking in for tells from sharps can be an effective way to hit on your bets.
These bettors are operating on much more than a whim, as they are professional bettors who look to make substantial money from their bets as a large part, if not all, of their income. Their experience, analytics, and influence create a major impact on the betting lines for a reason and could be a dependable direction to follow on your wagers.
Weaknesses of Following the Money: However, it’s important to remember that these bettors are still human, and as much research and analysis as they do, they are still prone to mistakes. So don’t feel deterred if you’re confident about something and see that the money disagrees with you; anything can happen, so be prepared.
Not to mention, trying to identify where these people are betting can be difficult up until the betting lines have shifted heavily and out of your favor. Leaving this strategy as one that requires urgency and constant checking as a bettor. You can use this strategy for NFL draft odds, too!
Fading the People NFL Betting System
Analysis: When people look at the odds, the “fading the people” approach is where bettors will look where most people disagree with the sportsbooks and roll with the sportsbook instead. The belief is that there is a reason behind these lines that the average viewer wouldn’t understand.
So instead of thinking based on what they may feel in their own gut, they trust that the books have a good reason for their decision and opt to side with them instead.
Strengths of Fading the People: Following this system for betting can be effective, as the methodology behind the lines is done with plenty of research and analysis that many often overlook.
While the books aren’t perfect, there are plenty of games where the result is impressively on par with the lines set prior, and that happening favors those who follow this system.
Because so much of the population is betting on the opposite side, you may also see these lines and odds shift a bit further in your favor. That is also extremely beneficial as you always have to be intrigued by improved returns on your bets.
Weaknesses of Fading the People: There is always some good and bad with every blanket strategy, and this is no different. Sportsbooks often do put out lines and odds that are bound to get them money, but they aren’t perfect.
Taking this approach can certainly give you a leg-up operating with the mindset that the books know best, but the people have their moments, and in weeks where there isn’t a ton of disparity between the lines and popular opinion, you could limit the number of bets you have out for the week of play.
All Underdogs NFL Betting System
Analysis: The All Underdogs approach is a method of taking every team that is not favored by the books and expecting enough teams to produce upsets in order to turn out a profit for the week.
By taking underdogs to either win outright and taking advantage of the favorable odds or by trusting the teams to cover the spread and keep the game closer than expected. Whether placing Super Bowl prop bets or wagering on other leagues, analysis is always very important.
Strengths of All Underdogs: The upside for taking every underdog is obviously enticing for some, as this method offers the highest potential returns. While it would require a nice string of upsets, this approach does allow for an opportunity to capitalize on any chaotic weeks.
There is a certain charm, too, that comes with teams expected to lose, which makes them easy to root for.
Weaknesses of All Underdogs: With as much upside as this system may offer, the obvious downside is that there will be a high miss rate with this approach. The favored teams are favored for a reason, and they often handle business in a way that covers the spread, as shown in the first betting system.
The logic makes sense behind the approach, but the odds likely aren’t large enough to produce a steady profit through the season if you’re constantly picking underdogs hoping enough happen in the same week to make it worth the money invested.
Player Props Only NFL Betting System
Analysis: Taking an approach of betting strictly on player props instead of game results is a method that plenty of bettors take in the football season.
Finding lines on individual performances instead of relying on the entire team to come through on a wager can give a sense of security for bettors to feel more confident heading into kick-off.
Strengths of Player Props Only: As mentioned in the analysis section, the major appeal for player prop bets allows bettors to approach their decisions based on specific matchups rather than trying to compare entire teams together.
With this approach, you can find lines that feel more beneficial for a one-game circumstance and often can track the results easier through the game instead of having to wait until the final whistle to definitively find out if you succeeded or not.
With so many player-specific bets out there, bettors also get a much larger selection to choose from, and who doesn’t love options?
Weaknesses of Player Props Only: The unfortunate side of going strictly for player-based bets is that you often will have those players’ successes lined up with their team’s results. For example, if you’re betting on Derrick Henry to surpass 135 yards in the game, that type of rushing success likely means the Titans win as well.
However, the Titans winning doesn’t mean that Henry was able to hit on his rushing total. The stresses of watching a specific player and waiting on them to produce can be brutal, and honestly, it will make you sour on some players you enjoyed before if they let you down.
Then there is the fact that too many player props in the same game start to tear your parlay apart as production from each player limits the production of others. The whole deal can be complicated and leave the bet difficult to track across multiple games and teams.
So, Which One is the Best NFL Betting System to Use?
Finding the best system is actually quite simple. Do your research, find other experts in the field that you trust, and try to understand or find their research. Use your findings to build a steady, dependable system, even if it isn’t flashy.
Most importantly, try to have patience and reasonable expectations when it comes to sports betting in general. This is a hobby to enjoy, not something you should depend on as a major source of income unless you put in the time and effort that the experts do.
Using strategies and following trends through the season of play to give yourself a good mix of effective approaches will likely result in the most success with the sportsbooks. Determining which systems work most efficiently and tracking your results through the year can be insightful and rewarding while making you a better bettor, but as always, be sure to do so responsibly.
Whether you are betting on College Football championship or anything else, consider trying out some of our systems!
Best Sites for NFL Betting
- BetOnline: Best overall
- Bovada: Most geneorus bonuses
- BUSR: Excellent market variety
- MyBookie: Most competitive odds
- EveryGame: Amazing design
- xBet: Best for beginners
- Thunderpick: #1 pick for prop betting
- BetUS: Amazing reputation
- SportsBetting.ag: Best reload bonuses
- GTbet: Excellent mobile compatibility
BetOnline: Throughout the season, BetOnline will be filled with a user-friendly sportsbook with great lines and opportunities to place your bets. New users have the offer of a 50% deposit match up to $1,000, but there is a required $55 deposit to meet a 10x rollover.
Bovada: Agree on the advice of Kansas City to cover? Bovada is currently offering their line at -6.5 while most books have the line set at -7, and the book offers plenty more favorable lines to users. They’re offering an opportunity for first-time bettors with the site to get a 50% deposit match up to $250 using fiat currency or a 75% match up to $750 with Bitcoin by entering code BTCSWB750.
BUSR: BUSR is a great sportsbook to use over the course of the NFL season, and creating an account with them will be a huge opportunity to take advantage of BUSR’s welcome bonus of up to $1,500. You have to meet the 20x rollover requirements and deposit a minimum of $100.
MyBookie: MyBookie has a wide collection of intriguing player props and odds that are constantly up to date. For those who have yet to set up an account with them, you’ll get a 50% deposit match of up to $1,000 ($50 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply).
SportsBetting.ag: Sportsbetting.ag is already prepared for the NFL season, with odds set for games all over the course of the season. By registering for a new account, you’ll be eligible for a 50% welcome bonus up to $1,000 just by using the code SB1000, although there is a $55 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply.
Guide to Finding the Best NFL Betting Systems
While the strategy and approach to each system have been explained, there are probably still a lot of questions left in order to gain clarity for a greater understanding of this all before the season kicks off.
So away we go, trying to untangle the complicated knot of questions surrounding betting systems when it comes to the NFL.
When Will The Season Start?
The season begins on Thursday, September 7th, when the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions. Currently, the Chiefs are -7 point favorites to win the game – you should keep up with Super Bowl odds before you start betting.
The rest of the games for the opening week will take place on Sunday and Monday (September 10th & 11th), and each team is scheduled to play a full 17 games over the full regular season.
What Betting Systems Should I Use?
There are plenty of different methods; the best advice is to find one that you enjoy and works well for your earnings. Sports betting should be something to enjoy, so try out a few methods and see which approach feels best for you.
What Is The Best Way to Decide On Player Props?
Figuring out specifics for player yardage or who will score the first touchdown can be a bit confusing. While many will place bets blindly, the best advice is to search around on the internet or social media and find someone who proves to do enough research that you feel comfortable following their advice and seeing how the results turn out.
How Can I Make The Most Money This NFL Season?
There are a lot of different avenues and methods that can be taken as an attempt to turn a profit as a bettor, but the most important thing to keep in mind if you’re just getting into sports betting is that you shouldn’t be going into it expecting to get a lot of money without spending a lot of time and effort researching.
Try to set yourself up with a budget for the season of money that you are okay losing, the ideal situation is that you don’t, but in the unknown of sports betting, it’s good to play things cautiously.
Once you have your budget, try to figure out how you plan to space that money out through the season, and then once you have your budget for week one figured out, go with what strategies feel best. This is an experience to be enjoyed, and finding what style of bets you enjoy most is crucial to make this an enjoyable and worthwhile hobby to stick with.
NFL Betting Tips: How to Make the Most of Your NFL Wagers
While these may not always be full-fledged systems for the upcoming season, there’s still a variety of tips and tricks to put yourself ahead and take advantage of the sportsbooks. So as you start to take a look at the odds this season, keep these strategies in mind before you pick your bets. You can use our tips below for different leagues, including Super Bowl 2024.
Set Up Accounts With Different Sportsbooks
The odds and lines when it comes to NFL betting vary by each book, so having yourself set up on numerous sites with an account at each place will get you in a position to find the best odds and in turn, offer you the biggest returns.
Hitting on the bets is, of course, on you, but you’re only limiting yourself by choosing to only operate with one sportsbook.
Take Advantage of the NFL Betting Bonuses
Whether it’s welcome bonuses, special lines, increased odds, or anything else, there are offers all over the world of sports betting, and finding and taking advantage of these opportunities can be big for you to be put in a position for favorable bets.
Keeping an eye around across your multiple accounts, tracking offers, and setting yourself up with the best offers is a great way to put yourself ahead as a bettor and give yourself a leg up on the sportsbooks!
Be Objective With Your Decisions
It’s easy to see a line for a team you like, carry a chip on your shoulder into that bet and start to set unrealistic goals for the upcoming match-up. It’s perfectly fine to disagree with the odds and go against the books, but be sure not to overcorrect those lines and start placing a ton of money on the game or incorporating a large amount of legs into a parlay on the match-up.
Betting for the NFL season is a marathon and not a race, don’t overinvest in one game and risk the chance of souring yourself on a great opportunity to turn some money through the fall.
Keep Yourself Updated
News breaks every day during the football season, and there are times when information can slip through the cracks. Whether it’s injury-related information or something off the field, make sure you’re staying up to date on team news, especially before submitting any bets.
The last thing you want to do is place a wager on a game without realizing an impactful player is out or limited and then only hurt your chances of hitting on the bet and gaining some extra cash. Stay patient, stay up to date, then approach the books, and it is bound to work better in your favor.
Keep Your Bets Reasonable
It’s easy to start building a parlay and let your eyes widen as the payout goes up, but that number means nothing if the bet doesn’t hit. Obviously, there is always a chance to succeed on a big parlay, but trying to keep yourself at a maximum of six legs is a good way to keep things reasonable.
While the numbers may not go as high as you’d like to see, remember it’s more important to hit and actually get the money than to just end up with 0 returns off of the wager. Realistically, you should try to stick to three or four-leg parlays.
So, Did You Decide Which NFL Betting Systems to Use?
As the season inches closer and closer, the sportsbooks have started rolling out their lines for the first week of football, so now there’s no reason to wait! So go find a sportsbook with one of our highly recommended best football betting sites and start placing your bets to set yourself up for a successful first week.
BetOnline, Bovada, and BUSR are the books where you can find the most competitive odds, and taking advantage of the sign-up bonuses plays to your favor quite nicely. Wherever you decide to deploy your betting strategies for the year ahead, make sure that you bet responsibly.
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