With each passing second, the NFL kickoff grows closer. However, you’ll want to get your bets placed in advance in order to capitalize on the lines and opportunities – but how do you know what are the NFL best bets to use? Well, that’s where we come in!
Our team of expert bettors did the heavy lifting for you, and after dozens of options checked, we finally have the results to share with you. And if you are looking for the best sites to use, make sure to take a look at Bovada – it’s one of the top sites we found!
Want to find out more? Keep on reading.
Analyzing the Best Team Props for the 2023-24 NFL Picks
To Win The NFC South
New Orleans Saints +125
Atlanta Falcons +225
Carolina Panthers +325
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +750
Analysis: Last season, the NFC South was a tight race between four teams with losing records. However, all teams were 7-10 or better. This year, the division is wide open yet again. There is value in a team like Tampa Bay potentially getting more efficiency out of Baker Mayfield. Perhaps the Saints take a huge step forward with the addition of Derek Carr at QB.
Maybe the Falcons continue to grow under Arthur Smith and are able to claim the division crown. There’s also the chance Bryce Young plays effectively out of the gates and helps the Panthers get to the top of a lackluster group.
Ultimately, the division is filled with varying outcomes, so trying to pinpoint who to roll with could be difficult.
Best Bet: Atlanta Falcons To Win The NFC South (+225)
The Falcons have quietly been putting together a solid roster in what was a tough window to do so. With Desmond Ridder’s flashes of quality play and the arrival of Bijan Robinson, expect them to find a way to step forward as the division winner. They may not be ready to contend, but they have a perfect storm brewing to take advantage of the division.
And to take advantage of betting odds, look for Exact Division Position for Atlanta to find +240 odds on 1st, which is betting the exact same thing for better returns!
>> Find the latest NFL odds at Bovada
Tennessee Titans Win Total
Over 7.5 Wins -110
Under 7.5 Wins +120
Analysis: The Tennessee Titans were in control of the AFC South for the two seasons prior to the 2022 – 2023 season. However, they were hit with a critical injury bug last season, resulting in them losing their final seven games of the season and ultimately missing the NFL playoffs as a result.
While you could assume that when healthy, they easily get back on track, momentum is a huge aspect of team building, and the Jacksonville Jaguars have plenty of it. The Titans have question marks throughout the offensive line and at quarterback, with Tannehill getting older each season. Can they get back on track, or will the collapse carry over into this season?
Best Bet: Over 7.5 Wins (-110)
Plain and simple, the Titans are a very well-coached team. Mike Vrabel is consistently overachieving, and assuming Tannehill is healthy, they should be able to get back on track. The Jaguars will be a tough competitor for the division crown but expect the Titans to outperform 7-10 and easily hit this line.
If you especially like the Titans this year, consider betting them to win the AFC South, which is currently sitting at +300 odds.
>> Find the best bets on NFL at MyBookie
Fewest NFL Regular Season Points Scored 2023-2024
Arizona Cardinals +650
Houston Texans +1000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1000
Washington Commanders +1000
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Analysis: When it comes to some of the best free NFL picks, there are a lot of contenders for the lowest total this season. Generally speaking, injuries are the biggest factor in a team’s offensive efficiency.
For example, the Denver Broncos were the lowest-scoring team last season, and there’s a good chance that isn’t the case if RB Javonte Williams doesn’t go down early with a torn ACL and miss the season.
Best Bet: Arizona Cardinals To Score Fewest Points (+650)
Injuries aren’t a good thing, but they are a part of the game. Use the information about those injuries to your advantage. The Cardinals are a team that is already below average in the NFL, and they are without star QB Kyler Murray for potentially 6 weeks and maybe even longer.
There will be obvious issues as a result, especially if they can’t have anyone step up to manage the offense.
If the team opts to hold Kyler out for a large part or all of the season to give him more time to heal, the offense could be lackluster all season and result in a great return for those who placed a wager here.
>> Check out the best NFL odds at BetOnline
Baltimore Ravens To Make Playoffs
Yes -150
No +120
Analysis: With the additions of WRs Odell Beckham Jr and Zay Flowers, CB Rock Ya Sin, and new Offensive Coordinator Todd Monken now on the team. The Ravens are a team who took some big steps this offseason to help improve their roster.
The unfortunate side of this is the AFC North is filled with tough competition as they will face the very strong Cincinnati Bengals, the trending Pittsburgh Steelers, and one of the most complete rosters in the Cleveland Browns. Yet, that’s only their divisional games! Will the Ravens be able to overcome the tough road ahead to get themselves a spot in the NFL playoffs?
Best Bet: Baltimore Ravens To Make Playoffs – Yes (-150)
The Ravens went above and beyond this offseason to address the weaknesses of last offseason while also getting some key returning pieces like OLB Tyus Bowser to their roster that should make them one of the scarier teams in the NFL, and plenty capable of competing with the top of the AFC.
Competing in a talented AFC North Division could create some close calls, but Lamar Jackson on offense with the Ravens defensive prowess should keep them highly competitive to where they see some postseason football.
>> Bet on Ravens to make playoffs at BUSR
Least Points Against Regular Season 2023-2024
San Francisco 49ers +600
Baltimore Ravens +900
Buffalo Bills +1200
New York Jets +1200
Philadelphia Eagles +1200
Analysis: For the least points against statistic, there are plenty of factors that need to be considered. Obviously, defensive talent is the most crucial, but factors like the strength of the NFL schedule and offensive ball control can be crucial to help teams break into the top of the league.
The 49ers, Ravens, Bills, Jets, and Eagles all have the defensive talent to warrant being atop these NFL odds. However, which team has the additional factors in their favor in order to sit atop this rank and accomplish this line for NFL bettors?
Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers Least Points Against (+600)
The 49ers have a very impressive defensive roster, and they also benefit from having one of the lesser talented offensive divisions in the league. While there are other capable defenses in the division, the 49ers seem to have a string of favorable factors that make them a great value here at +600.
If you’re looking for a dark horse pick, though, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have way too good of a defense to be sitting at +6600 NFL odds; if their offense can be average, they’ll be in the running.
>> Place your bets at SportsBetting.ag.
Analyzing the Best Player Props for 2023-24 NFL Season
Bryce Young – Total Pass Yds 2023 Reg. Season
Over 3350.5 Pass Yds -115
Under 3350.5 Pass Yds -115
Analysis: Carolina paid a heavy price to move up in the 2023 NFL Draft in order to acquire QB Bryce Young, so expectations are bound to be high. However, Young has been raised to be prepared for the NFL and enters the league as one of the more pro-ready prospects in recent memory. This is one of the best NFL football picks!
The lines are split dead even for if he will get over or under 3350.5 yards passing this season, so opinions will likely be equally as split. Assuming Young is the opening-day starter and stays healthy all 17 games, it certainly could be a close line.
Best Bet: Bryce Young OVER 3350.5 Total Pass Yards 2023 Regular Season
While the Panthers will need to figure out their passing weapons, and that could hinder the production through the air, Young is one of the more intelligent passers we’ve seen coming out of college that should help him produce early in the NFL.
Of the immediate success type prospects, many were able to surpass this number or were well on track if not for injury. Many fans have their hesitations about his frame and durability in the NFL, but he should be able to hold up as he did for most of his college career at Alabama. Rolling with him to go over is the smarter play right now.
>> Bet on Young at BetAnySports
Who Will Have Most Receiving Yards 2023 Regular Season
Jordan Addison +190
Quentin Johnston +200
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +210
Zay Flowers +400
Analysis: The 2023 NFL Draft was one with very split opinions regarding the wide receiver group, and now that they’ve all found their landing spots, those split opinions continue.
Addison is the betting favorite of the batch to lead this year in receiving production, but all three of Johnson, Smith-Njigba, and Flowers have the upside and talent to find themselves in great opportunities to succeed this season. Which makes picking the leader of this pack all the more challenging.
Best Bet: Jordan Addison Most Receiving Yards (+190)
Despite being the favorite of the category, Addison still offers positive value. The Minnesota Vikings are a pass-friendly offense that will have many defenses focusing on Addison’s counterpart in WR Justin Jefferson.
This should open up plenty of opportunities for him to get touches and produce early on. Not to mention that the team’s second and fifth most targeted weapons are no longer on the roster this season, leaving him with plenty of opportunity to step in without taking away from others on the team. And don’t forget about checking out the best Super Bowl prop bets, too!
All four wideouts have plenty of talent and potential to succeed out of the gates, but Addison makes the most sense to produce at the highest rate early on.
Josh Allen – Total Pass TDs 2023 Reg. Season
Over 32.5 Pass TDs -115
Under 32.5 Pass TDs -115
Analysis: The Buffalo Bills offense has been built around Josh Allen, and he’s stepped up to the plate to help carry the unit toward success each season. The current line of 32.5 passing touchdowns is an interesting one because Allen has hit that mark handily in each of the past three seasons.
The Bills also added Utah TE Dalton Kincaid through the draft to help open up the offense, so you’d think the sportsbooks would be expected improved play, if anything, for this coming season. However, could some rumored turmoil with star WR Stefon Diggs limit the overall production this season for Allen and the Bills’ offense?
Don’t forget to check out the latest NFL draft bets before you place your wagers.
Best Bet: Josh Allen OVER 32.5 Pass TDs In 2023 Regular Season (-115)
When someone has surpassed a number three seasons in a row, it’s worth being confident that they continue to do so until further notice. Allen is one of the top quarterbacks in the league, and while the AFC East could be a tight division, expect Bill’s offense to continue being one of the stronger units in the NFL.
>> Place your NFL wagers at BetUS
Comeback Player of The Year
Damar Hamlin -500
Russell Wilson +1000
Sam Darnold +1000
John Metchie +1600
Lamar Jackson +2200
Analysis: Buffalo Bills’ S Damar Hamlin has one of the largest odds leads for a positional award at -500 as the comeback player of the year, but that opens up some intriguing value across the rest of the league for potential stars and quality players alike who could work themselves into winning the award at a major profit to bettors.
Quarterbacks like Russell Wilson, Sam Darnold, and Lamar Jackson are in the top five as guys who could potentially win it. Also, Houston Texans’ WR John Metchie is fourth in the odds after overcoming cancer that held him out of his rookie season.
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson to Win Comeback Player Of The Year (+2200)
The narrative around Lamar Jackson has been plagued with questions of durability and winning football. This season, the Ravens gave him the extension, surrounded him with weapons, and brought in an established new offensive play caller. The opportunity is there for Lamar to flourish, and he’s proven that he can.
While Hamlin has a great story, he is a backup safety, the odds seem to be way too heavy on his end. If you have a player separate from Lamar that you expect to have a big year, this is definitely a bet you should look into. For a dark horse outside of the top 5, keep an eye on Denver Broncos RB Javonte Williams, sitting at +5000 odds.
>> Place comeback of the year bets at Lucky99
Most Passing Yards 2023 Regular Season
Patrick Mahomes +300
Justin Herbert +400
Patrick Mahomes +900
Justin Herbert +1200
Patrick Mahomes +1400
Analysis: Last season, Patrick Mahomes led the NFL in passing yards with 5,250 yards. This was 511 yards more than second-place Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert (4,739 yards).
These two are the obvious top dogs of the category, as there is a decent jump down to Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow at +900. The big contention for Mahomes is that his numbers were a wide margin and that he should continue to hold the spot even if he loses ground.
However, the Chargers bring in former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore with expectations he should open up the offense and unlock the best parts of Herbert’s game. Potentially helping the young QB even take an additional step forward in his play. This AFC West QB rivalry should certainly be exciting to watch.
Best Bet: Patrick Mahomes To Throw Most Passing Yards 2023 Regular Season (+300)
It should be close, especially if Moore is going to add more downfield passing concepts that were lacking in the Chargers offense last season under Joe Brady.
However, Mahomes seems to be hitting an even more impressive peak in his play that continues to grow. The more the Chiefs rely on him, the better he seems to get. At +300 odds, it’s worth rolling with the favorite here.
>> Place your NFL bets at XBet
How to Bet on NFL Football
Getting started in sports betting can be a bit confusing when it comes to where to begin, but we’ve got it covered for you. Here is a step-by-step guide to signing up with Bovada.
Step 1: Register for a New Account
- Click here to visit BetOnline and click the green ‘Join’ button
- Fill out all the signup details as needed
Step 2: Activate the Account
- Check your email account for the validation link
- If you can’t locate it, try checking your junk folder
- Once found, verify your account by clicking the verification link in the email
Step 3: Deposit and Place Your Bets
- Insert your funds using your preferred payment method
- Potentially take advantage of the sites promotional offer
- Research bets and begin placing them
Best Sites for 2023-2024 NFL Picks
Bovada: Bovada is quick to put out lines, extremely convenient for the NFL season. Also, be sure to take advantage of their 50% deposit match for new sign-ups up to $250 using fiat currency or a 75% match up to $750 with Bitcoin using code BTCSWB750. A 5x rollover applies to both bonuses. Easily one of the best NFL betting sites we found!
MyBookie: MyBookie has countless unique bets that will only increase as the season moves deeper and deeper into the year. New users have a chance at a signup offer for a 50% deposit match of up to $1,000 with a $50 minimum deposit.
BetOnline: For a great user-friendly site, BetOnline is a great option. They have a large selection of bets for the upcoming football season already available. Sign up today, and you could be eligible for a 50% deposit match up to $1,000, although you’ll have to make a $55 deposit and meet a 10x rollover.
BUSR: Looking for a variety of betting markets? Then BUSR might be an excellent option for you! It also offers some of the most competitive NFL betting odds we found. Don’t forget to activate your $1,500 welcome bonus once you sign up for a new account.
Sportsbetting.ag: When you’re watching the NFL game and looking to bet live on the games, Sportsbetting.ag is a great platform for you to use and capitalize on. Take advantage of their sign-up promotional offer, and you’ll be eligible for a 50% welcome bonus up to $1,000 using code SB1000, although a $55 minimum deposit and 10x rollover apply.
Guide to Finding the Best NFL Picks: FAQs
Is Betting On the NFL Safe?
Absolutely! There are countless sportsbooks and platforms available to choose from that are very trusted and established brands to where you can feel comfortable betting with them and trusting they’ll return what you have earned.
Of course, all betting is risky to a degree, so be sure to do so responsibly with proper research and assessment of your own financial situation.
When Does the NFL Season Begin?
The NFL Season kicks off September 7th when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football to begin the NFL regular season.
The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:20 PM EST and will be available on NBC. Check out the NFL schedule for more details.
Who Is the Betting Favorite to Win the Super Bowl?
The current favorite to win Super Bowl LVIII is the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs, who currently sit at +650 odds.
Last season, they won Super Bowl LVII by a score of 38-35 over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are second in the odds at +700. Finishing out the top five are the Cincinnati Bengals (+850), San Francisco 49ers (+850), and the Buffalo Bills (+1200).
Who Is the Betting Favorite To Win the MVP?
The current betting favorite for the 2023-2024 NFL MVP Award winner is Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes II at +650 odds via BetOnline.
Mahomes won his second MVP award last season after throwing for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns. Make sure to check out the NFL MVP odds for the upcoming season before you place your wagers.
The other closest contenders, according to odds, are Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow (+750), Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (+800), Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (+900), and Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert (+1000). As you can see by the top five, the position generally goes to the highest-performing quarterback of the year.
Is There a Deadline On Season-Long NFL Bets?
There is no deadline on season-long bets as long as sportsbooks leave them available, but the further into the season we go, the less likely there will be beneficial odds for users to bet on.
The odds will be constantly shifting by the day, so it could be best to get your bets in now if there is anything you see as a good line. Waiting too long could make you lose value and miss an opportunity.
Best Tips & Strategies for 2023-2024 NFL Betting
Don’t Let Your Bets Go Against One Another
Putting numbers on good players is easy to do, but you have to try to make sure that your expectations for the season align with the bets you’re putting out. For example, if you think the Cardinals are going to be very bad this year, you may want to avoid betting overs on WR Marquise Brown, surpassing 1000 receiving yards.
While Brown is a very talented player, he could run into issues with a limited offense that could hold him back from hitting the thousand-yard mark, and even if he does, he could cut it close.
On the flip side, if you think that the Cowboys are going to win the Super Bowl this year, then maybe you’d be interested in putting a wager on one of Tony Pollard, CeeDee Lamb, or Dak Prescott to pass their yardage markers set on them.
Keeping your bets from contradicting your expectations go a long way in keeping yourself confident for the season ahead and can make you a much more effective bettor.
Take Advantage Of Promotional Offers
Luckily for you, sportsbooks are desperate for your business. There are countless platforms for you to choose from when it comes to where you spend your money, so they’ll do what they can to lock you down and bring you in. Use that to your advantage and find great sign-up offers for new users, and check around for the daily promos these books use to try to keep you coming back.
Most often, this is boosted odds or money matching, which is zero-downside as long as it’s used for bets you already like. Use this method to help improve your earnings and capitalize on the sportsbooks desire to have your business.
Sign Up With Multiple Sportsbooks
Sportsbetting doesn’t require loyalty, so it’s best for your own interest if you keep your options open. Creating an account with multiple sportsbooks to both get the promotional offers each book offers and compare odds across the varying platforms is the most effective way to ensure your largest returns. This goes for all sports betting, so keep it in mind at all times, regardless of what you’re placing wagers on.
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Ready to Place the Best NFL Bets Online?
The season is getting closer, and with each day, the odds are prone to be changed. It’s important to keep in mind that it won’t always be in your favor. So if you have lines you like and can find a sportsbook you trust, then there’s nothing stopping you from getting out there and placing your bets today!
For our recommendation, we think Bovada is the best platform to start with for the upcoming season. Regardless of where you decide to bet, always be sure to do so responsibly!
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