With the MLB season back in full swing, it’s probably the best time to preview the MLB MVP odds for the 2023 season.
So let’s take an early look at the top American and National League MVP contenders and spotlight the favorites as well as some other intriguing players on the board.
We’ll also show you the best sportsbooks to bet on each player, including Bovada, our top baseball bookie for the season.
Let’s dive in!
MLB MVP Betting Odds (Courtesy of Bovada)
American League MVP Odds
- Shohei Otani – Angels DH/SP (-10000)
- Kyle Tucker – Astros OF (+6000))
- Corey Seager – Rangers SS (+6000)
- Randy Arozarena- Rays OF (+7500)
- Marcus Semien- Rangers 2B (+8000)
- Bo Bichette – Blue Jays SS (+10000)
- Luis Robert Jr. -White Sox OF (+10000)
- Wander Franco- Rays SS (+12500)
- Adolis Garcia- Rangers OF (+15000)
National League MVP Odds
- Ronald Acuna Jr.- Braves OF (-1000)
- Freddie Freeman – Dodgers 1B (+600)
- Mookie Betts – Dodgers OF/2B (+1200)
- Matt Olson- Braves 1B (+4000)
- Luis Arraez- Marlins 2B (+5000)
- Corbin Carroll- Diamondbacks OF (+5000)
- Juan Soto – Padres OF (+7500)
>> Click here to lock these odds at Bovada
Now that we are past the trade deadline when you look at the MVP race, each league has one heavy favorite, followed by…the rest. This is particularly true in the American league, where Shohei Otani is at -10000 odds to win the award. His closest rivals are Kyle Tucker and Corey Seager and they both come in at very distant +6000.
Barring something completely unforeseen, this race looks to be over. Now that Otani is going to finish the season in Anaheim we can probably tell the engraver to start putting Shohei’s name on the Trophy.
Things are a little bit tighter in the National league where Braves outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. is the leader at -650. He’s followed by Dodger teammates Freddie Freeman (+500) and Mookie Betts (+1000). The gap between first and second best NL MVP odds would be considered pretty wide if not for the gargantuan margin Otani currently enjoys in the American league.
There is still enough regular season remaining that you can make a case that the NL race isn’t quite over yet, which means there might be some betting value on the board.
With close races in the Central and West divisions, a National spotlight could be focused on some of the other MVP contenders as their teams battle for playoff spots. Whereas the Braves should have their division wrapped up…any day now? Perhaps the voters will have turned their gaze away from Acuna’s incredible season.
Maybe?
MLB MVP Award Info
- Finalists: TBA
- Date: TBA (Sometime after the end of the playoffs)
- Time: TBA
- Location: TBA
- Channel: MLB Network
- Odds: Check here
MLB MVP History
The American and National league Most Valuable Player award has been given to the “most valuable” player in each league every year since 1931.
The first players to be deemed “Most Valuable” were The Philadelphia Athletics’ Pitcher Lefty Grove in the AL and St.Louis Cardinals second baseman Frankie Frish.
The award is determined through a vote by members of the Baseball Writers Association of America.
The voting is based on regular season statistics, and the winners are announced after the conclusion of the World Series.
Beyond the term “most valuable,” there are no parameters for voters to consider, which has always led to controversy and debate over the winners.
All Major League players are eligible for the award, though the frequency of pitchers winning the award has decreased since the introduction of the CY Young award in 1956.
The last pitcher to win the Award in the National League was Clayton Kershaw in 2014. The last pitcher to win the Award in the American League was Justin Verlander in 2011.
For those who like to quibble: Yes, Shohei Otani won the AL MVP in 2021 as a two-way player. We consider him an amazing outlier with no comparisons in the era of the MVP.
Speaking of notable outliers, the all-time leader in MVP awards is Barry Bonds, with SEVEN NL MVPS, some of them from before he had a gigantic head (literally).
Ten players are tied for the second most with 3 MVPs, including current Anaheim Angels’ center fielder Mike Trout.
Detroit Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera is the last back-to-back winner of the award, taking home AL MVPs in both 2012 and 2013.
Only three teams in Major League Baseball have never had an MVP. The Tampa Bay Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks both entered baseball in 1998, and despite both franchises making it to the world series, neither has had an MVP winner.
What’s slightly more incredible is that the New York Mets, who joined the National League in 1962, have NEVER had an MVP. Truly Amazin’
> Click here for the latest MLB MVP odds
AL and NL Top Contenders for Most Valuable Player
AL MVP Favorite
Shohei Otani – Angels DH/SP (Betting Odds: -10000 at Bovada)
The term “do it all player” can no longer be applied to any other major leaguer, thanks to Otani. The first natural two-way baseball player of the last hundred years won the AL MVP in 2021 and finished second last year.He might just be getting warmed up.
As of this writing Otani is leading the American league in Home Runs and triples as a hitter and as a pitcher he leads the league in fewest hits per 9 innings and most strikeouts per nine innings.Those are nutzo crazy insane stats for two players, let alone one.
Perhaps more impressively (I know that seems impossible) he has the Angels contending for the playoffs! Mike Trout went through a dreadful slump in May, but Otani carried the team through May, and June and July and…you get it.
The Angels didn’t trade Otani at the deadline and they actually made a number of additions in a final attempt to hit playoff pay dirt while Otani is still an Angel. We’ll see if it pays off.
The only bad thing about Otani not getting traded to a National League team is that we were denied the opportunity to see if he could actually win the MVP in both leagues the same season.
Shohei Otani might have to try that one year, just to see if he can. As for this year, he may have to settle for just an MVP, unless he can add a Cy Young award, maybe?
If you were thinking of taking the Otani double, his Cy Young odds for this season are +1200 at BetOnline.
Click here to view the latest AL MVP odds at Bovada
NL MVP Favorites
Ronald Acuna- Braves OF (Betting Odds: -1000 at Bovada)
The Braves slugger is enjoying good health for the first time in a few years and it shows. He’s on pace to put up a 30 Home Run 60 steal season, which would be unprecedented. And it’s not out of the question that he gets to 40 HR and 70 steals. On a team full of MVP candidates Acuna has separated himself with his speed.
This is exactly what Major League Baseball was hoping would happen when they enlarged the bases and put restrictions on pickoff throws. Players like Acuna are encouraged to use their athleticism on the bases, which makes for a more exciting game. In Acuna’s case it also makes for a better MVP candidate.
If there is any concern with Acuna it has to be injuries, as the talented outfielder has suffered season ending injuries more than once already in his career. With the division well in hand, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Acuna sitting once in a while and possibly DHing more regularly.
He’s expressed his desire to put up big numbers though and he should still be producing MVP level numbers for the rest of the season. While Acuna is the favorite, with so much season to play and the risk of injury we don’t really like the value here.
Lock the best NL MVP odds by joining Bovada today
MLB Most Valuable Player Long Shots
Even though the AL and NL favorites seem to enjoy comfortable leads over the rest of the MVP contenders, we think a few players further down the list might be undervalued by the oddsmakers. So here are some potential value bets courtesy of Bovada:
AL MVP Long Shots
Kyle Tucker – Astros OF (Betting Odds: +??? at BetOnline)
In most seasons, Tucker would be a legitimate candidate for the MVP, based on his numbers and his role playing for a top team with World Series aspirations. Plus, unlike several of his Astros teammates, he isn’t connected to the 2017 cheating scandal which makes him more likable and easier to vote for.
Of course Shohei Otani is redefining what a “great” season looks like in the American League. So unless Tucker starts closing games for Houston, he probably won’t draw much closer to Otani but we were just happy to write about an Astro who won’t invite hate mail.
Corey Seager- Rangers SS (Betting Odds: +??? at Bovada)
Seager has missed some time this season, which makes his numbers even more impressive. For example, At the trade deadline Seager was amongst the AL leaders with 58 Runs Batted in, but he’d only played in 66 games at that point.
In fact at the time of this writing Seager still hasn’t put up enough at bats to qualify for the league leader in some categories, but if he is putting up the same numbers when he does he will be the American League leader in batting average and on base percentage.
Something tells us we’ll be writing a lot more profiles like this in MVP previews about the other players in Otani’s league who really aren’t in his league.
NL MVP Long Shots:
Freddie Freeman LA Dodgers (+600 at Bovada)
And
Mookie Betts LA Dodgers (+1200 at Bovada)
Each of these Hall of Famers to-be has won a Most Valuable Player trophy already and both are perennial contenders for the MVP. Last season they finished 4th (Freeman) and 5th(Betts) in the NL voting.
This year is more of the same from the Dodgers stars. Freeman is actually surpassing his numbers from last year and Betts has displayed his versatility by putting in plenty of innings at shortstop, which has to make his fantasy owners ecstatic.
The Dodgers figured they would be in a division race this year, but they didn’t realize it would be against Arizona and not San Diego. To that end, if the Dodgers don’t win the division, we don’t see either of these guys taking home an MVP. However, given the amount of playoff experience LA has, odds are they will pull it out.
Assuming the Dodgers win their division, we think getting double the value for Mookie Betts over Freddie Freeman makes Betts the Value pick here, the difference between their production isn’t that great and the voters might catch hold to the “Mookie plays wherever he’s needed” narrative, which can sometimes be almost as good as statistics when it comes to winning the MVP.
And for all of the history buffs, if Mookie does win, he will join all time great Frank Robinson as the only man to win the MVP award in both leagues. At least until Otani joins the National League.
Corbin Carroll – Diamondbacks OF (Betting Odds: +5000 at Bovada)
Carroll was widely projected to win the National League rookie of the year award but very few people would have suggested that he would be amongst the favorites for winning the NL MVP.
Carroll’s all around game is similar to Acuna Jr. ‘s, and the rookie has lifted the Diamondbacks into the surprising position of contending for the National League West.
If the Diamondbacks made the playoffs it would be a much bigger surprise than the Braves, and the voters might deem Carroll’s contributions deserving of more than just the Rookie of the Year.
A little bit more history here, if Carroll were to take home the MVP he would become the first NL rookie to do so, and he would join Fred Lynn and Ichiro Suzuki as the only major league rookies with MVP trophies.
Juan Soto – Padres OF (Betting Odds: +7500 at Bovada)
Juan Soto already has three top-10 MVP finishes in his career, and he’s only 24. It seems like a near certainty that he will win multiple NL MVP awards before his career is over. Will this be the first? Unlikely, but not IMPOSSIBLE!
While we don’t think it is going to happen, we are looking at potential. And Juan Soto is one of the very few players in baseball history who could jump from long shot into the MVP lead with a good 6 week stretch. For Soto and the Padres, that stretch will have to come soon.
AL and NL MVP Betting Favorites
With an entire season ahead of us, it is literally anyone’s game, but barring injury, you can be pretty sure the following players will be in the MVP hunt right until the end.
Unlike most other American sports, baseball doesn’t put as much of a premium on winning when it comes to the MVP.
The two generational talents toiling away in Anaheim are proof of this. Shohei Otani won the AL MVP in 2021 on a team that went 77-85.
Mike Trout has an MVP trophy for every playoff game he’s played in, with three of each.
Ok, let’s break down the favorites in each league.
AL MVP Odds
Shohei Otani – Angels DH/SP (Betting Odds: +300 at Bovada)
The term “do it all player” can no longer be applied to any other major leaguer, thanks to Otani.
The first natural two-way baseball player of the last hundred years won the AL MVP in 2021 and finished second last year.
In those two years, he has hit 80 home runs, driven in 195 runs, scored 193, stolen 37 bases, and 14 triples, and incredibly, that’s only half of the story.
Otani also finished 4th in American League Cy Young voting after going 15-9 as a starting pitcher, with 219 strikeouts, a 2.33 ERA, and a dazzling 1.01 WHIP.
If you were thinking of taking the Otani double, his Cy Young odds for this season are +950 at BetOnline.
No other player can offer the combination of skills that Shohei Otani can.
If he can match his performances over the last two seasons, it will take a historic season by one of his competitors to beat him.
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Aaron Judge – Yankees OF (Betting Odds: +310 at Bovada)
Becoming the American League’s single-season Home Run leader would be the type of historic performance we were referring to.
That’s what Judge did last season, and it was enough for him to win AL MVP.
Back-to-back 60 HR seasons don’t happen without the help of PEDs. So unless Aaron Judge comes into spring training at seven feet tall and 350 lbs, we don’t see him matching last year’s Home Run output.
But because he’s the franchise player on the New York Yankees, he may not need to reach last season’s numbers to contend.
If Judge can lead his squad to a division title, it could be enough to sway the voters who are desperate to find a reason to vote for a Yankee.
Vladamir Guerrero Jr. – Blue Jays 1B (Betting Odds: +350 at MyBookie)
Vladamir Guerrero Jr.’s dad won the AL MVP in 2004 with the Angels. Can Vlad Jr. make it a family tradition?
He’ll have a much better chance if he returns to his 2021 form when he finished second in AL MVP voting after putting up 48 HR and 111 RBI.
Last season his numbers were down across the board. He still ended up 16th in MVP voting and added the first gold glove of his career.
If he can get his bat and his glove in top form simultaneously, it might be enough to make the Guerreros the first father/son MVPs ever.
For the record, we still feel that Dale Berra was robbed of the 1983 NL MVP when he led the national league in intentional walks with 19.
Mike Trout – Angels CF (Betting Odds: +450 at BetOnline)
We promise, this article is in no way connected to the Los Angeles Angels (of Anaheim).
It just so happens that they have a proud history of MVPs, including Trout, baseball’s only active three-time winner.
He’s also finished second in MVP voting four times and has only finished outside the top 5 twice in his career.
Of course, those two times are the last two seasons, as injuries have robbed Trout of more than an entire season’s worth of games in that time.
In only 119 games last year, Trout hit 40 HR and ended up finishing 8th in MVP voting.
If he can somehow play 140 games, it could be enough to put him alone in second place all time, with 4 MVP trophies.
Click here to view the latest AL MVP odds at Bovada
NL MVP Odds
Juan Soto – Padres OF (Betting Odds: +260 at Bovada)
Juan Soto already has three top-10 MVP finishes in his career, and he’s only 24, making him a prime contender to win NL MVP.
It seems like a near certainty that he will win multiple NL MVP awards before his career is over. Will this be the year he wins his first?
His numbers dropped from “staggering” to just “good” when he got to San Diego last year after a trade from the Washington Nationals.
Now that he’s acclimated to the team, we expect him to return to his usual self.
The Padres’ offense is going to be bonkers this season, and Soto could end up with some monster numbers; the question is, will they be surpassed by one of the other sluggers on his own team?
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Paul Goldschmidt – Cardinals 1B (Betting Odds: +330 at BetOnline)
Goldschmidt took home his first National League MVP last season after finishing second twice and third another time when he played for the Diamondbacks.
He’s very quietly been one of the best hitters in the game for the past decade, and now that he’s nailed down his first MVP, will there be more to follow?
There hasn’t been a back-to-back MVP in the National League since 2008-09, but that MVP was a first baseman for the Cardinal…
Bryce Harper – Phillies OF (Betting Odds: +500 at MyBookie)
Bryce Harper had Tommy John Surgery this off-season, and while he recently got a good prognosis about his recovery, there’s still an expectation that Harper will miss at least the first few months of the season.
With so much talent in the National League, he’ll have a lot of ground to make up to stay in the NL MVP race.
Still, Harper currently has the third-best odds to win the award, which is why he is listed here and not in our “Bettor Beware” section. We still urge you to beware.
Ronald Acuna- Braves OF (Betting Odds: +650 at Bovada)
The Braves slugger has only played 201 out of a possible 324 regular season games the past two seasons, so injuries could be a concern.
Acuna is only 25 years old and may still have untapped potential. If he can stay healthy, he will be hitting in a stacked lineup with the opportunity to put up impressive numbers.
Now that the DH is universal, Atlanta may be able to rotate Acuna into the spot in an effort to preserve his health.
If Acuna can play 150 games, a 30-30 steal season is within reach, and a 40/40 season isn’t out of the question. Maybe this will be more than enough to help him win MVP.
Lock the best NL MVP odds by joining Bovada today
MLB MVP Predictions
We’ve expressed our concerns with Bryce Harper, but there are a couple of other names who don’t have our unabashed enthusiasm.
Here are other cautious MLB MVP predictions.
AL MVP Fades
Jose Ramirez – Guardians 3B (Betting Odds: +800 at Bovada)
Did you know Jose Ramirez has four top 5 AL MVP finishes in the last six years? And he finished sixth another year? Pretty impressive.
So why do we have him listed here? Simply put, popularity.
While Ramirez is an incredibly consistent, highly productive player, there are just too many superstars with higher profiles who will draw the voters’ eyes.
Another top 5 MVP finish is possible, if not probable, but we think he will come up short once again.
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Bo Bichette – Blue Jays SS (Betting Odds: +1600 at BetOnline)
Much like Ramirez, Bichette will have to step out of the shadow of some bigger names to win the MVP.
In his case, it’s from his own teammate and fellow second-generation major leaguer Vladamir Guerrero Jr.
The Blue Jays share a division with the Red Sox and Yankees, who tend to dominate the coverage.
We just don’t think the voters have enough bandwidth to keep TWO Canadian candidates in their crosshairs.
NL MVP Fades
Fernando Tatis Jr. Padres OF (Betting Odds: +1600 at Bovada)
Tatis is suspended until April 20 as he finishes his 80-game ban for performance enhancers. He hasn’t taken the field since his motorcycle crash before the 2022 season.
And while we suspect he’ll be highly motivated to prove himself, over a year away from baseball is a long time to just come back at peak levels.
There’s also one other compelling reason to be wary of Tatis Jr’s chances for the MVP.
If you haven’t been paying attention, baseball voters don’t tend to like voting for PED users.
Despite playing on an offensive juggernaut, we can’t imagine a scenario where Tatis Jr. can overcome the writers’ bias.
MLB Most Valuable Player Long Shots
Even though the AL and NL favorites seem to enjoy comfortable leads over the rest of the MVP contenders, we think a few players further down the list might be undervalued by the oddsmakers. So here are some potential value bets courtesy of Bovada:
AL MVP Long Shots
Kyle Tucker – Astros OF (Betting Odds: +??? at BetOnline)
In most seasons, Tucker would be a legitimate candidate for the MVP, based on his numbers and his role playing for a top team with World Series aspirations. Plus, unlike several of his Astros teammates, he isn’t connected to the 2017 cheating scandal which makes him more likable and easier to vote for.
Of course Shohei Otani is redefining what a “great” season looks like in the American League. So unless Tucker starts closing games for Houston, he probably won’t draw much closer to Otani but we were just happy to write about an Astro who won’t invite hate mail.
Corey Seager- Rangers SS (Betting Odds: +??? at Bovada)
Seager has missed some time this season, which makes his numbers even more impressive. For example, At the trade deadline Seager was amongst the AL leaders with 58 Runs Batted in, but he’d only played in 66 games at that point.
In fact at the time of this writing Seager still hasn’t put up enough at bats to qualify for the league leader in some categories, but if he is putting up the same numbers when he does he will be the American League leader in batting average and on base percentage.
Something tells us we’ll be writing a lot more profiles like this in MVP previews about the other players in Otani’s league who really aren’t in his league.
NL MVP Long Shots:
Freddie Freeman LA Dodgers (+600 at Bovada)
And
Mookie Betts LA Dodgers (+1200 at Bovada)
Each of these Hall of Famers to-be has won a Most Valuable Player trophy already and both are perennial contenders for the MVP. Last season they finished 4th (Freeman) and 5th(Betts) in the NL voting.
This year is more of the same from the Dodgers stars. Freeman is actually surpassing his numbers from last year and Betts has displayed his versatility by putting in plenty of innings at shortstop, which has to make his fantasy owners ecstatic.
The Dodgers figured they would be in a division race this year, but they didn’t realize it would be against Arizona and not San Diego. To that end, if the Dodgers don’t win the division, we don’t see either of these guys taking home an MVP. However, given the amount of playoff experience LA has, odds are they will pull it out.
Assuming the Dodgers win their division, we think getting double the value for Mookie Betts over Freddie Freeman makes Betts the Value pick here, the difference between their production isn’t that great and the voters might catch hold to the “Mookie plays wherever he’s needed” narrative, which can sometimes be almost as good as statistics when it comes to winning the MVP.
And for all of the history buffs, if Mookie does win, he will join all time great Frank Robinson as the only man to win the MVP award in both leagues. At least until Otani joins the National League.
Corbin Carroll – Diamondbacks OF (Betting Odds: +5000 at Bovada)
Carroll was widely projected to win the National League rookie of the year award but very few people would have suggested that he would be amongst the favorites for winning the NL MVP.
Carroll’s all around game is similar to Acuna Jr. ‘s, and the rookie has lifted the Diamondbacks into the surprising position of contending for the National League West.
If the Diamondbacks made the playoffs it would be a much bigger surprise than the Braves, and the voters might deem Carroll’s contributions deserving of more than just the Rookie of the Year.
A little bit more history here, if Carroll were to take home the MVP he would become the first NL rookie to do so, and he would join Fred Lynn and Ichiro Suzuki as the only major league rookies with MVP trophies.
Juan Soto – Padres OF (Betting Odds: +7500 at Bovada)
Juan Soto already has three top-10 MVP finishes in his career, and he’s only 24. It seems like a near certainty that he will win multiple NL MVP awards before his career is over. Will this be the first? Unlikely, but not IMPOSSIBLE!
While we don’t think it is going to happen, we are looking at potential. And Juan Soto is one of the very few players in baseball history who could jump from long shot into the MVP lead with a good 6 week stretch. For Soto and the Padres, that stretch will have to come soon.
AL and NL Most Valuable Player: Betting Guide
Based in the US? Here are some state-specific betting guides:
- Online Sports Betting in Texas
- Best Louisiana Sports Betting Sites
- Best Mississippi Sports Betting Sites
- Best Sports Betting Sites in Tennessee
Where to Bet on MLB MVP Odds
You can bet on the AL and NL MVPs at a number of online sportsbooks or even at your local brick-and-mortar establishment.
We’d recommend spending your money at a big, established online bookie like BetOnline or Bovada, though, where you’ll also be able to place other MLB prop bets as well.
These sites have been around for years, building up a reputation for treating players fairly. That’s far from the only reason to bet with them, though:
- They’re Convenient: You can get the most up-to-date lines anytime you want, simply by refreshing the page.
- They Reward Players: We’ve already mentioned the special that Bovada is running, but that’s just one of the many rewards these sites offer new and existing players. They’re always looking for ways to get you into the action — other sportsbooks simply can’t compete with that.
- They Offer Round-The-Clock Action: You can bet on most sports matchups right up to the start time, and then you can get live bets during the game.
Why Bet on the MLB MVP Awards?
Looking for the best sportsbooks on the internet? Check out these guides:
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AL and NL MLB MVP Odds: FAQs
What is the MLB MVP?
The AL and NL Most Valuable Player awards are presented to one player in each league by the Baseball Writers Association of America, based on a vote of their members.
When are the AL and NL MVPs Awarded?
The 2023 AL and NL MVP winners are announced sometime after the conclusion of the World Series.
Who were the Most Valuable Players last season?
New York Yankees Outfielder Aaron Judge won the American League MVP.
St.Louis Cardinals First Baseman Paul Goldschmidt won the MVP in the National League.
It was the first MVP win for both players.
Still Searching for the Best MLB MVP Odds?
So far the 2023 season has treated us to some incredible playoff races and truly impressive individual performances.
The favorites in each league, Shohei Otani (-10000) and Ronald Acuna Jr. (-1000) are worthy of those spots but the odds are so stacked in their favor that we don’t see the value of tying up the money for such a small return.
If you are looking for more baseball betting value, Mookie Betts (+1200) in the NL is currently our best value amongst players with a shot to unseat Acuna.
As for the American League, unless Shohei Otani goes on a completely out of character crime spree or reveals he is really a superhuman alien from outer space, we have a hard time imagining anyone overtaking him.
However there are so many other tight races for Cy Young or Rookie of the Year that we’re sure there’s a baseball wager out there for everyone.
You can bet on these players and their teams at Bovada and BetOnline, two top MLB betting sites. As you do so, remember to wager responsibly.
DISCLAIMER: As we’ve always emphasized, gambling is a risky entertainment form. With this in view, you should never take this path to resolve financial difficulties as there’s nothing assured. Remember, at any given point, the “house always wins.”
Do you feel as though you’re approaching problem gambling, or do you know someone with a similar issue? Without further ado, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Also, gambling sites are 18+ only.
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