Sunday’s Wild Card schedule kicks off with the 7th-seeded Miami Dolphins heading into frigid upstate New York where the 2nd-seeded Buffalo Bills await them.
Betting sites have the Bills winning by at least two scores at -13, a huge margin considering the two games these teams have played this season were separated by a combined five points.
- Dolphins +13 spread: (-110)
- Bills -13 spread: (-110)
- Dolphins to win: (+385)
- Bills to win: (-475)
- Over/Under: 43.5 (over is –112; under is -108)
Important: The Dolphins vs Bills odds displayed in this article are subject to change.
The large spread makes sense due to the absence of the Dolphins’ starting QB Tua Tagovailoa who will be replaced by backup Skylar Thompson.
Buffalo, on the other hand, is relatively healthy entering the contest with the exception of cornerback Damar Hamlin, whose recovery from his devastating Monday Night Football injury has become a source of inspiration for the Bills.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Wild Card Game Info
- Who: Miami Dolphins (9-8) vs Buffalo Bills (13-3)
- When: Sunday – January 15th @ 1:00 pm EDT
- Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
- How to Watch: CBS
- Odds: Click here
We’re going to get into the nitty gritty in a moment but first, you need to know how to place a bet on the Dolphins vs Bills NFL Wild Card game.
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BetOnline provides users with a variety of ways to bet on the Dolphins vs Bills game, with more than a hundred bets on this matchup. Besides, not many books give you a sign-up bonus of 50% with your first deposit, one that they’ll match up to $1000. Keep reading for more reasons why BetOnline is your go-to sportsbook for this game.
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After tons of research on these odds, we’ve cherry-picked a few odds that we think are worth checking out.
With Thompson starting this Sunday, that spells a lot of trouble for a Dolphins offense that relied heavily on Tagovailoa getting their dynamic receivers the ball. It’s also worth mentioning that before winning their final game in an unimpressive 19-16 home win over the Jets, Miami had lost five in a row, many of which Tagovailoa started. In short, the Dolphins have not been playing good football as of late.
The Bills have the edge in nearly every category in this game and they’re going to try to attack early and often with QB Josh Allen. Without Tagovailoa to counter Buffalo’s offense, the defense should have no problem shutting down Miami’s offensive weapons. With the Bills having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, we like them at -6 in the first half as we believe Buffalo will pull away early.
41.5 is a bit low for us even if Miami is starting a rookie. This game could easily be out of reach by halftime if the Thompson and the Dolphins can’t get their offense going. On the contrary, if Miami’s defense is on the field too long, they’re in trouble as their pass defense gives up 234.8 yards a game, 27th in the NFL.
Without a good QB to generate any offense, the Dolphins’ defense will be stuck trying to contain the seventh-best passing offense in the league plus the second-overall leader in total offense with nearly 400 yards per game. With Thompson under center, the Bills will overpower Miami’s defense in the early going, making over 21.5 points at -120 for the first half a nice value pick.
Buffalo was fantastic at starting games this season, having the highest success rate (56.7%) on opening drives of any other team in the league. Due to this, we think Buffalo scoring on their opening drive at +106 is worth looking at. Another Buffalo bet to consider here is over 3.5 touchdowns as the Bills averaged 28.2 points a game this season.
History Between the Dolphins & The Bills
These teams don’t like each other. Why should they? They’re divisional foes with decades of mutual hatred for one another since they started playing back in 1966. 118 games later and here they are meeting for the fifth time in the postseason with the last playoff game between them coming 24 years ago in 1999.
Although the Dolphins lead the overall series 62-55-1, it’s the Bills that hold the edge in the playoffs, going 3-1 including 2-0 in Buffalo. Miami took over the series in the early decades, especially in the 1970s when they had all-time winningest coach Don Shula at the helm and won two Super Bowls.
In the 1990s, the Bills would dominate the series on the backs of Hall of Famers like QB Jim Kelly and defensive lineman Bruce Smith. In recent times, the Bills have been in control, winning 12 of the last 16 games they’ve played against each other. Bills QB Allen has done very well against Miami thus far in his career, going 8-2.
Why is Betting On The Dolphins vs Bills Better To Do Online?
Betting online is a different beast nowadays than it was when it started. For starters, the sheer safety of betting online has skyrocketed to the point that many online books are far more regulated and safer than in-person casinos. You’re also faced with far more options and features than a standard casino. There are far more reasons to bet online, a few of which are listed below.
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Thousands of Odds – Walk into an in-person casino and they’ll usually have a sportsbook. However, what if the odds are too high or you don’t see any you like for the game you want to bet on? You can’t just ask the book to change them. No, you’ll have to physically go find another casino with different odds. That’s not the case online as all the best books are there for you to browse so you can find the absolute best odds for the game of your choice.
Variety – Just like different in-person casinos have their pros and cons, so do online books except there is way more variety in terms of betting. For instance, unlike a lot of in-person books, you can bet on the little things within the games such as the opening coin toss, how many yards a specific player will get, or the total number of field goals. This isn’t the case with an in-person sportsbook which can often be extremely limited in the bets they offer for each game.
Best Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Wild Card Predictions
Miami and Buffalo come into this game on totally different paths. The Dolphins made the playoffs for the first time since 2016 but aren’t expected to do much, especially without a starting QB. Buffalo has been one of the best teams in the AFC in the last few years and many predict they could make the Super Bowl this season.
Dolphins vs Bills: Polar Opposites
The Dolphins started off the season great, hit a snap, then surged with a five-game winning streak but followed that up by losing five out of their final six games. Compare that to the Bills who opened up the 2022 campaign 5-1, lost their next two games, then ended the regular season on a seven-game winning streak.
There’s a contrast in the statistics as well, especially on defense where the Bills are second in points allowed at 17.9 per game compared to the Dolphins at 23.5 points (24th).
Miami ranks 18th overall in yards allowed with 337.8 a game while Buffalo is fifth, giving up only 319.1 yards per match. They do have similarities on offense as Miami is fourth overall and Buffalo is seventh but the bulk of the Dolphins’ stats come from when Tagovailoa started.
How the Miami Dolphins Can Advance
Miracles are a common theme in sports lore and that’s exactly what the Dolphins are going to need to win this game without Tagovailoa. Instead, they have to get past the mighty Bills with a rookie third-stringer in Thompson who has only thrown 60 times all season with one touchdown and three interceptions. He’ll need to have the game of his life if Miami is to advance.
It’s worth pointing out that the Dolphins won their first game against the Bills this season and only lost the second meeting by three points in Buffalo, a game in which Tagovailoa threw three picks. That’s an encouraging sign for Thompson. If he can limit his mistakes and let playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Joey Waddle do their thing, they could have a shot at the upset. It’s far fetched but crazier things have happened in NFL Wild Card games.
How the Buffalo Bills Can Advance
For the Bills to advance, the formula is simple: keep doing what they’ve done all year. That is, be aggressive on offense and for the defense to make life hard on the opposing offense. The defensive unit is great at stuffing the run which will force Thompson to make plays through the air, something he hasn’t proven he can do yet. Allen and the offense should have no problem passing on a Miami defense that ranks 27th against the pass.
There are a number of other factors on how the Bills can move on to the NFL Divisional Round. Playing at home has been a huge advantage for the Bills in this series lately, going 10-1 over the last 11 games against Miami in Buffalo. In fact, the Bills have been in control of this series for a while now, going 12-4 against the Dolphins in the last 16 games they’ve faced off. Even if Tagovailoa was healthy, Miami would still be in trouble as Buffalo is simply a superior team.
Same Old Story For Buffalo Bills
With recent history and an all-around great team to stand on, Buffalo has a huge edge in this Wild Card game against Miami. Being that they’re better on offense and defense combined with the Dolphins’ shaky QB situation, the Bills are likely to knock Miami out of the playoffs on Sunday afternoon.
NFL Week 18 Highlights
- Giants vs Eagles
- Vikings vs Bears
- Jets vs Dolphins
- Chargers vs Broncos
- Titans vs Jaguars
- Lions vs Packers
- Texans vs Colts
What Is The Best Bet For The Dolphins vs Bills Wild Card Game?
Without anything being a sure bet, we feel you’ll find the best value is the Bills -7 in the first half, which you can place at BetOnline.
Who Will Win The Dolphins vs Bills Playoff Game?
At -13 points, the Bills are an enormous favorite. It’s rare to have a playoff game with a double-digit spread but without Tagovailoa slinging it for Miami, Buffalo should win this game easily.
Can The Miami Dolphins Or Buffalo Bills Win The Super Bowl?
Of all the teams in the playoffs, the Dolphins have the lowest odds of making the Super Bowl at +10000. The reason for that is that their chances are slim to none. The Bills, on the other hand, have as good of a chance as anyone to win it all.
What Is The Best Sportsbook To Bet On The Dolphins vs Bills Wild Card Game?
We really like BetOnline because of that great 50% signup bonus. All you need to do is put in promo code BOL1000 when you deposit and they’ll match your deposit 50% all the way up to $1000. It’s a heck of a deal.
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Ready To Place Your Bets On The Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff Game?
If you find this game piquing your betting interest, it’s totally understandable. Here are a few final thoughts on the matchup.
With the Bills dominating this series and on a six-game winning streak against Miami in Buffalo, our favorite bet for this matchup is the Bills -7 in the first half.
Secondly, the Bills averaged 28.1 points a game during the regular season, making over 41.5 a solid pick here as we expect Buffalo to score a lot against a Miami defense that will spend a lot of time on the field.
Last, we think Buffalo will score on their opening drive is a good prop bet to check out at +106.
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